Trinity Bible (ND)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 853 (#577) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 788 (#602) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 936 (#623) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -35.1 (#422) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -32.8 (#768) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.108 (#735) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.029 (#733) | AdjNet -30.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.028 (#733) | AdjNet -30.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.113 (#735) | AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 90.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.238 (#719) | AdjO 64.6 | AdjD 77.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.087 (#756) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.107 (#751) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 695 (#610) | RD 287 | GP 4 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Minn.-Morris | L | 51 - 78 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Martin Luther | L | 61 - 65 |
| 2025-12-08 | @ | Minn.-Morris | L | 64 - 96 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Crown (MN) | L | 58 - 82 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Loberger | - | 1 | 30.4 | 21.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 18.0 | 12.0 | 25 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 77.8 | -0.78 | 47.8 | 38.9 |
| Quincy Wilson | - | 3 | 30.4 | 18.0 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 18.0 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 37.0 | 36.4 | 71.4 | - | 44.9 | 40.7 |
| Benjamin Pearson | - | 1 | 34.0 | 18.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 12.0 | -44 | -2.3 | -7.4 | 31.2 | 50.0 | 75.0 | -1.66 | 46.1 | 37.5 |
| Ethan Kjenstad | - | 1 | 24.3 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 33 | 1.5 | 7.6 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0.09 | 87.2 | 83.3 |
| Luke Fix | - | 1 | 27.7 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 25.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.28 | 35.9 | 25.0 |
| Nehemiah Becker | - | 3 | 20.5 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 8.7 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 25.0 | 40.0 | - | 38.8 | 38.1 |
| Owen Pollard | - | 3 | 18.6 | 5.7 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 7.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 23.8 | 28.6 | 60.0 | - | 36.6 | 33.3 |
| Jacob King | - | 3 | 12.8 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.7 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.19 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jude Morrow | - | 3 | 25.6 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 8.7 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 19.2 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Thomas Balge | - | 1 | 19.4 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -3.0 | -5 | -0.3 | -1.5 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.53 | 34.0 | 30.0 |
| Sam Wilson | - | 3 | 23.2 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 4.7 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 40.0 | - | 30.9 | 28.6 |
| Benjamin Vasold | - | 1 | 32.2 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 58 | 2.6 | 10.7 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 1.81 | 27.6 | 30.0 |
| Christian Shepherd | - | 3 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Mason Bates | - | 3 | 15.0 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.7 | -0.7 | - | - | - | 21.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 23.5 | 21.4 |
| Marcellus Mencarini | - | 3 | 17.8 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 3.7 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | - | 30.4 | 33.3 |
| Colten Pagnac | - | 2 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Martin Krenz | - | 1 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -1.0 | -73.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.32 | 0 | 0 |
| Trey Lauber | - | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -4.0 | 15 | 0.7 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.29 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG