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Trinity University (TX)

Also known as: Trinity University (TX) Tigers
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1203 (#53) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1250 (#32) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More โ†’ 1007 (#399) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ +8.5 (#32) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +6.0 (#273) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.758 (#58) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.3 More โ†’ 0.674 (#60) AdjNet +6.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.0 More โ†’ 0.739 (#37) AdjNet +9.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 70.5 More โ†’ 0.638 (#37) AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 70.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 71.6 More โ†’ 0.569 (#265) AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 71.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.601 (#311) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.548 (#368) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ A&M-Corpus Christi L 56 - 83
2025-11-09 @ Mary Hardin-Baylor W 82 - 74
2025-11-15 vs Emory W 90 - 78
2025-11-16 @ UChicago L 57 - 87
2025-11-21 @ Marietta W 86 - 81
2025-11-22 vs CWRU W 75 - 59
2025-11-24 @ La Roche W 90 - 77
2025-11-30 vs Hardin-Simmons W 81 - 73
2025-12-06 @ St. Thomas (TX) L 53 - 66
2025-12-09 vs Mary Hardin-Baylor W 82 - 77
2025-12-20 vs Saint John's (MN) W 102 - 76
2025-12-21 vs Wis.-Stevens Point L 66 - 74
2026-01-03 vs Southwestern (TX) W 94 - 74
2026-01-09 vs Oglethorpe W 102 - 74
2026-01-11 vs Berry W 87 - 66
2026-01-16 @ Rhodes L 73 - 79
2026-01-18 @ Millsaps W 73 - 69
2026-01-23 vs Sewanee W 103 - 84
2026-01-25 vs Centre W 96 - 90
2026-01-30 @ Sewanee W 98 - 85
2026-02-01 @ Centre W 103 - 88
2026-02-06 vs Rhodes L 75 - 76
2026-02-08 vs Millsaps W 79 - 64
2026-02-13 @ Oglethorpe W 77 - 54
2026-02-15 @ Berry W 73 - 68
2026-02-21 @ Southwestern (TX) W 95 - 60
2026-02-27 vs Centre W 83 - 57
2026-02-28 @ Rhodes L 76 - 79
2026-03-06 vs Whitworth W 71 - 63
2026-03-07 @ St. Thomas (TX) L 58 - 75

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jackson Lawson - 29 22.9 13.4 3.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.2 9.8 6.7 - - - - 50.7 42.3 87.5 - 62.1 58.5
Dylan Walker - 8 20.8 13.0 3.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 1.4 11.2 5.2 - - - - 44.4 37.2 88.9 - 55.3 53.3
Will Bronson - 29 25.6 12.5 9.5 1.2 0.4 2.1 2.0 7.8 16.1 - - - - 63.1 0.0 71.8 - 66.4 63.1
Dean Balo - 29 28.7 12.0 4.3 3.0 0.9 0.0 2.1 9.1 9.1 - - - - 40.3 32.6 77.5 - 54.9 48.3
Ben Estis - 29 24.6 8.2 2.2 1.9 0.4 0.1 1.1 5.2 6.4 - - - - 46.1 33.8 80.5 - 62.3 54.9
Zach Fenn - 27 24.3 6.6 3.4 2.9 3.6 0.4 1.4 5.4 10.1 - - - - 46.2 27.5 58.8 - 53.2 51.0
Joshua Chesney - 29 11.6 6.6 2.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.8 4.2 4.4 - - - - 51.6 45.9 82.6 - 67.5 63.1
Gabe Parr - 29 11.9 5.3 3.0 0.9 0.6 0.4 1.4 3.8 4.9 - - - - 62.4 0 41.5 - 60.2 62.4
Carter Ruck - 29 12.1 3.3 1.2 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.4 3.0 3.0 - - - - 35.6 35.9 78.6 - 51.5 48.9
Trent Medearis - 28 9.5 3.2 2.1 0.9 0.6 0.0 0.9 2.6 3.3 - - - - 43.2 26.3 68.8 - 51.7 46.6
Benjamin Wagner - 29 7.4 3.2 1.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.5 2.3 2.7 - - - - 47.1 27.3 68.6 - 56.4 51.5
Elias DeMent - 25 4.4 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.2 - - - - 47.1 0.0 70.0 - 53.7 47.1
Jake Miller - 17 3.2 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 - - - - 50.0 50.0 75.0 - 72.3 70.0
Javon Toliver - 24 4.5 0.9 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 - - - - 50.0 0 25.0 - 45.1 50.0
Luke Bledsoe - 23 3.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.2 0.4 - - - - 22.2 15.0 44.4 - 30.7 27.8
Max Sprott - 18 3.4 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 - - - - 33.3 25.0 33.3 - 41.3 41.7
Zach Austin - 18 2.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 - - - - 33.3 0.0 71.4 - 45.5 33.3
Sean Tisdall - 12 1.9 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.2 - - - - 50.0 100.0 16.7 - 45.2 62.5
Julian Dupertuis - 12 2.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 - - - - 60.0 0.0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Landon Harlin - 3 0.8 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG