Trinity University (TX)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1203 (#53) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1250 (#32) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1007 (#399) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +8.5 (#32) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +6.0 (#273) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.758 (#58) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.674 (#60) | AdjNet +6.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.739 (#37) | AdjNet +9.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.638 (#37) | AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 70.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.569 (#265) | AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 71.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.601 (#311) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.548 (#368) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | A&M-Corpus Christi | L | 56 - 83 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Mary Hardin-Baylor | W | 82 - 74 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Emory | W | 90 - 78 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | UChicago | L | 57 - 87 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Marietta | W | 86 - 81 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | CWRU | W | 75 - 59 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | La Roche | W | 90 - 77 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Hardin-Simmons | W | 81 - 73 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | St. Thomas (TX) | L | 53 - 66 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Mary Hardin-Baylor | W | 82 - 77 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Saint John's (MN) | W | 102 - 76 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Wis.-Stevens Point | L | 66 - 74 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Southwestern (TX) | W | 94 - 74 |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | Oglethorpe | W | 102 - 74 |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Berry | W | 87 - 66 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Rhodes | L | 73 - 79 |
| 2026-01-18 | @ | Millsaps | W | 73 - 69 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Sewanee | W | 103 - 84 |
| 2026-01-25 | vs | Centre | W | 96 - 90 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Sewanee | W | 98 - 85 |
| 2026-02-01 | @ | Centre | W | 103 - 88 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Rhodes | L | 75 - 76 |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | Millsaps | W | 79 - 64 |
| 2026-02-13 | @ | Oglethorpe | W | 77 - 54 |
| 2026-02-15 | @ | Berry | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Southwestern (TX) | W | 95 - 60 |
| 2026-02-27 | vs | Centre | W | 83 - 57 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ | Rhodes | L | 76 - 79 |
| 2026-03-06 | vs | Whitworth | W | 71 - 63 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ | St. Thomas (TX) | L | 58 - 75 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Lawson | - | 29 | 22.9 | 13.4 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 9.8 | 6.7 | - | - | - | - | 50.7 | 42.3 | 87.5 | - | 62.1 | 58.5 |
| Dylan Walker | - | 8 | 20.8 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 11.2 | 5.2 | - | - | - | - | 44.4 | 37.2 | 88.9 | - | 55.3 | 53.3 |
| Will Bronson | - | 29 | 25.6 | 12.5 | 9.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 7.8 | 16.1 | - | - | - | - | 63.1 | 0.0 | 71.8 | - | 66.4 | 63.1 |
| Dean Balo | - | 29 | 28.7 | 12.0 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 9.1 | 9.1 | - | - | - | - | 40.3 | 32.6 | 77.5 | - | 54.9 | 48.3 |
| Ben Estis | - | 29 | 24.6 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.2 | 6.4 | - | - | - | - | 46.1 | 33.8 | 80.5 | - | 62.3 | 54.9 |
| Zach Fenn | - | 27 | 24.3 | 6.6 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 5.4 | 10.1 | - | - | - | - | 46.2 | 27.5 | 58.8 | - | 53.2 | 51.0 |
| Joshua Chesney | - | 29 | 11.6 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 4.4 | - | - | - | - | 51.6 | 45.9 | 82.6 | - | 67.5 | 63.1 |
| Gabe Parr | - | 29 | 11.9 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 3.8 | 4.9 | - | - | - | - | 62.4 | 0 | 41.5 | - | 60.2 | 62.4 |
| Carter Ruck | - | 29 | 12.1 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 35.6 | 35.9 | 78.6 | - | 51.5 | 48.9 |
| Trent Medearis | - | 28 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 3.3 | - | - | - | - | 43.2 | 26.3 | 68.8 | - | 51.7 | 46.6 |
| Benjamin Wagner | - | 29 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 2.7 | - | - | - | - | 47.1 | 27.3 | 68.6 | - | 56.4 | 51.5 |
| Elias DeMent | - | 25 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | 47.1 | 0.0 | 70.0 | - | 53.7 | 47.1 |
| Jake Miller | - | 17 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | - | 72.3 | 70.0 |
| Javon Toliver | - | 24 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 45.1 | 50.0 |
| Luke Bledsoe | - | 23 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 22.2 | 15.0 | 44.4 | - | 30.7 | 27.8 |
| Max Sprott | - | 18 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 25.0 | 33.3 | - | 41.3 | 41.7 |
| Zach Austin | - | 18 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 71.4 | - | 45.5 | 33.3 |
| Sean Tisdall | - | 12 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 16.7 | - | 45.2 | 62.5 |
| Julian Dupertuis | - | 12 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Landon Harlin | - | 3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG