Trinity (FL)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1240 (#4) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +13.7 (#177) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.247 (#633) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.045 (#710) | AdjNet -26.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.043 (#709) | AdjNet -26.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.130 (#715) | AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 89.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.820 (#18) | AdjO 83.8 | AdjD 67.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.858 (#50) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.859 (#36) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1337 (#10) | RD 81 | GP 43 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-07 | @ | UTSA | L | 47 - 74 |
| 2022-11-11 | vs | Fredonia | W | 83 - 48 |
| 2022-11-12 | vs | Nichols | W | 74 - 55 |
| 2022-11-12 | @ | Rochester (NY) | L | 63 - 78 |
| 2022-11-14 | @ | A&M-Corpus Christi | L | 73 - 91 |
| 2022-11-18 | vs | Gwynedd Mercy | W | 86 - 74 |
| 2022-11-19 | vs | Hamilton | W | 92 - 76 |
| 2022-11-19 | @ | Manhattanville | W | 70 - 43 |
| 2022-11-20 | @ | LeTourneau | W | 88 - 84 |
| 2022-11-22 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | W | 86 - 71 |
| 2022-11-23 | @ | Sul Ross St. | L | 88 - 93 |
| 2022-11-25 | vs | McMurry | W | 91 - 85 |
| 2022-11-27 | vs | Hardin-Simmons | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2022-11-28 | vs | Elms | W | 73 - 55 |
| 2022-11-30 | @ | Springfield | W | 76 - 65 |
| 2022-12-02 | @ | Centenary (LA) | L | 65 - 69 |
| 2022-12-03 | @ | Wheaton (MA) | W | 73 - 69 |
| 2022-12-04 | @ | St. Thomas (TX) | L | 63 - 77 |
| 2022-12-05 | vs | Anna Maria | W | 91 - 61 |
| 2022-12-09 | vs | CCNY | W | 88 - 33 |
| 2022-12-10 | @ | Western New Eng. | L | 78 - 80 |
| 2022-12-21 | vs | Geneva | W | 78 - 63 |
| 2022-12-22 | vs | Wis.-Stevens Point | W | 84 - 63 |
| 2022-12-29 | vs | Schreiner | W | 86 - 73 |
| 2022-12-30 | vs | Framingham St. | W | 71 - 51 |
| 2022-12-31 | vs | Farmingdale St. | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2023-01-02 | vs | Colorado Col. | W | 64 - 58 |
| 2023-01-06 | @ | Colby | W | 87 - 80 |
| 2023-01-06 | @ | Dallas | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2023-01-07 | @ | Bowdoin | W | 73 - 58 |
| 2023-01-07 | @ | Austin | W | 82 - 67 |
| 2023-01-10 | vs | Eastern Nazarene | W | 80 - 59 |
| 2023-01-13 | @ | Connecticut Col. | L | 52 - 58 |
| 2023-01-13 | @ | Texas Lutheran | W | 74 - 64 |
| 2023-01-14 | @ | Southwestern (TX) | W | 63 - 50 |
| 2023-01-18 | @ | Mitchell | L | 77 - 86 |
| 2023-01-20 | vs | Centenary (LA) | W | 80 - 59 |
| 2023-01-21 | vs | Wesleyan (CT) | L | 70 - 75 |
| 2023-01-21 | vs | St. Thomas (TX) | L | 59 - 67 |
| 2023-01-27 | @ | Hamilton | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2023-01-28 | @ | Amherst | W | 71 - 50 |
| 2023-02-01 | @ | Schreiner | W | 91 - 88 |
| 2023-02-03 | vs | Williams | L | 79 - 94 |
| 2023-02-04 | vs | Middlebury | L | 64 - 65 |
| 2023-02-05 | @ | Colorado Col. | L | 68 - 72 |
| 2023-02-10 | vs | Bates | W | 82 - 62 |
| 2023-02-10 | vs | Dallas | W | 83 - 73 |
| 2023-02-11 | vs | Tufts | L | 59 - 74 |
| 2023-02-11 | vs | Austin | W | 98 - 61 |
| 2023-02-17 | vs | Texas Lutheran | W | 85 - 58 |
| 2023-02-18 | @ | Williams | L | 47 - 62 |
| 2023-02-18 | vs | Southwestern (TX) | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2023-02-25 | vs | Centenary (LA) | W | 67 - 54 |
| 2023-02-26 | vs | Schreiner | L | 67 - 69 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.