Trinity (FL)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1240 (#4) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +13.7 (#177) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.247 (#633) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.045 (#710) | AdjNet -26.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.043 (#709) | AdjNet -26.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.130 (#715) | AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 89.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.820 (#18) | AdjO 83.8 | AdjD 67.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.858 (#50) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.859 (#36) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1337 (#10) | RD 81 | GP 43 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-07 | vs | Sul Ross St. | W | 89 - 81 |
| 2021-11-09 | @ | UTSA | L | 66 - 97 |
| 2021-11-12 | vs | Mitchell | W | 113 - 91 |
| 2021-11-12 | @ | Hardin-Simmons | W | 72 - 69 |
| 2021-11-13 | @ | Eastern Conn. St. | W | 75 - 65 |
| 2021-11-13 | @ | McMurry | W | 90 - 74 |
| 2021-11-19 | vs | Kean | L | 69 - 76 |
| 2021-11-20 | @ | Concordia (TX) | W | 95 - 82 |
| 2021-11-20 | @ | Manhattanville | W | 65 - 57 |
| 2021-11-21 | @ | Texas-Dallas | W | 95 - 62 |
| 2021-11-23 | vs | Western New Eng. | W | 71 - 68 |
| 2021-11-26 | vs | Birmingham-So. | W | 108 - 76 |
| 2021-11-27 | vs | Carleton | L | 100 - 103 |
| 2021-11-28 | @ | Saint Joseph (CT) | L | 59 - 79 |
| 2021-12-01 | vs | Springfield | W | 87 - 64 |
| 2021-12-04 | @ | Schreiner | W | 95 - 84 |
| 2021-12-06 | @ | Nichols | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2021-12-11 | vs | CCNY | W | 87 - 56 |
| 2021-12-17 | @ | Austin | W | 89 - 80 |
| 2021-12-19 | @ | Centenary (LA) | L | 78 - 87 |
| 2021-12-21 | vs | Alma | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2021-12-22 | vs | Calvin | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2022-01-11 | vs | Dallas | W | 74 - 65 |
| 2022-01-11 | vs | Mitchell | W | 86 - 72 |
| 2022-01-13 | @ | St. Thomas (TX) | L | 51 - 59 |
| 2022-01-14 | @ | Wesleyan (CT) | L | 74 - 82 |
| 2022-01-15 | @ | Colorado Col. | W | 80 - 76 |
| 2022-01-18 | vs | Bowdoin | W | 79 - 52 |
| 2022-01-19 | vs | Pratt | W | 97 - 32 |
| 2022-01-21 | vs | St. Thomas (TX) | W | 64 - 55 |
| 2022-01-22 | vs | Connecticut Col. | L | 62 - 65 |
| 2022-01-23 | vs | Colorado Col. | W | 85 - 76 |
| 2022-01-25 | @ | Eastern Nazarene | W | 83 - 54 |
| 2022-01-25 | @ | Southwestern (TX) | W | 92 - 73 |
| 2022-01-28 | @ | Middlebury | L | 77 - 82 |
| 2022-01-29 | @ | Texas Lutheran | W | 78 - 76 |
| 2022-02-01 | vs | Colby | L | 69 - 76 |
| 2022-02-04 | @ | Tufts | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-05 | vs | Centenary (LA) | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-06 | vs | Austin | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-09 | vs | Texas Lutheran | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-11 | vs | Amherst | W | 62 - 53 |
| 2022-02-12 | vs | Hamilton | W | 51 - 32 |
| 2022-02-12 | vs | Southwestern (TX) | W | 85 - 65 |
| 2022-02-15 | vs | Schreiner | W | 98 - 74 |
| 2022-02-15 | @ | Elms | W | 89 - 65 |
| 2022-02-18 | vs | Bates | W | 67 - 50 |
| 2022-02-20 | @ | Dallas | W | 80 - 78 |
| 2022-02-20 | @ | Tufts | W | 90 - 76 |
| 2022-02-26 | @ | Wesleyan (CT) | L | 67 - 70 |
| 2022-02-26 | vs | Schreiner | W | 88 - 65 |
| 2022-02-27 | @ | St. Thomas (TX) | L | 58 - 77 |
| 2022-03-04 | @ | Whitworth | W | 77 - 52 |
| 2022-03-05 | @ | Mary Hardin-Baylor | L | 82 - 98 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.