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Trinity (CT)

Also known as: Trinity (CT)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2018 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1032 (#163) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1211 (#44) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1093 (#99) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +10.8 (#88) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +4.5 (#288) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.798 (#312) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.9 More → 0.778 (#238) NetEff +8.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +24.9 More → 0.947 (#172) AdjNet +24.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +24.6 More → 0.947 (#173) AdjNet +24.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 54.3 More → 0.784 (#186) AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 54.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 61.6 More → 0.611 (#219) AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 61.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.668 (#242) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.669 (#242) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 124 | GP 9 More → 1182 (#76) RD 124 | GP 9

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-11 @ UTRGV L 57 - 62
2018-03-02 @ Texas-Dallas L 70 - 79

2018 Roster

No roster data available for this season.