Trinity (CT)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1302 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1383 (#2) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1240 (#4) | HCA +56 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1038 (#216) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +27.0 (#37) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +25.2 (#83) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +13.7 (#177) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.985 (#189) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.997 (#2) | NetEff +47.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.983 (#67) | AdjNet +34.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.981 (#85) | AdjNet +33.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.884 (#115) | AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 57.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.820 (#18) | AdjO 83.8 | AdjD 67.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.766 (#50) | AdjO 80.5 | AdjD 67.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.858 (#50) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.825 (#73) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.859 (#36) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.812 (#68) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1333 (#10) | RD 80 | GP 43 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1110 (#159) | RD 255 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | A&M-Corpus Christi | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Mary Hardin-Baylor | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Lehman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Emory | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | UChicago | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Yeshiva | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Marietta | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | CWRU | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | La Roche | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Russell Sage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Union (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Hardin-Simmons | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Saint Joseph (CT) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | St. Thomas (TX) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Babson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Mary Hardin-Baylor | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Hartford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Saint John's (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Wis.-Stevens Point | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Suffolk | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Albertus Magnus | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Baruch | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Southwestern (TX) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | Worcester St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | Oglethorpe | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Middlebury | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Williams | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Berry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Rhodes | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Amherst | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Hamilton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-18 | @ | Millsaps | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Western New Eng. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Sewanee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Wesleyan (CT) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-25 | vs | Centre | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Connecticut Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Sewanee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Tufts | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-01 | @ | Centre | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Bates | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Rhodes | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | Millsaps | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Walker | - | 6 | 27.7 | 17.3 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 22 | 3.7 | 36.1 | 44.4 | 37.2 | 88.9 | 1.28 | 55.3 | 53.3 |
| Jarrel Okorougo | - | 21 | 25.7 | 15.4 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 13.6 | 10.6 | - | - | - | 48.8 | 39.1 | 54.4 | 3.26 | 51.4 | 50.4 |
| Henry Vetter | - | 20 | 25.8 | 14.4 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 9.8 | 11.3 | - | - | - | 49.0 | 42.3 | 87.5 | 4.14 | 65.3 | 61.0 |
| Jackson Lawson | - | 22 | 21.5 | 13.6 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 9.3 | 7.5 | 45 | 7.5 | 11.4 | 51.5 | 45.8 | 88.1 | 0.1 | 65.2 | 60.8 |
| Will Bronson | - | 22 | 25.2 | 13.3 | 9.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 7.6 | 16.9 | 130 | 6.2 | 31.2 | 65.9 | 0.0 | 76.0 | 4.08 | 70.0 | 65.9 |
| Dean Balo | - | 22 | 27.9 | 12.4 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 8.8 | 9.2 | 78 | 3.5 | 17.5 | 42.0 | 32.3 | 82.5 | 2.33 | 57.9 | 50.0 |
| Drew Lazarre | - | 21 | 26.1 | 10.7 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 43.2 | 37.0 | 70.0 | 1.33 | 55.4 | 53.7 |
| Ben Estis | - | 22 | 23.5 | 8.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.4 | 7.0 | 50 | 2.4 | 12.3 | 46.2 | 32.2 | 78.9 | -1.77 | 62.0 | 54.2 |
| Jared Berry | - | 19 | 13.5 | 8.1 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 6.9 | 5.5 | 131 | 6.5 | 28.1 | 41.2 | 19.6 | 74.0 | -1.54 | 50.3 | 44.7 |
| Tristan Davis | - | 19 | 21.0 | 7.4 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 4.3 | 10.3 | 22 | 1.7 | 41.6 | 63.0 | 0 | 67.9 | 1.47 | 66.3 | 63.0 |
| David Ayles | - | 21 | 23.0 | 6.8 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 5.1 | 8.6 | - | - | - | 50.9 | 42.5 | 53.6 | 2.79 | 59.0 | 58.8 |
| Zach Fenn | - | 22 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 5.2 | 9.9 | 94 | 4.3 | 23.8 | 43.9 | 26.8 | 55.3 | 2.19 | 50.5 | 48.7 |
| Paul Ippolito | - | 20 | 11.2 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.1 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 42.7 | 34.0 | 72.0 | 0.66 | 55.9 | 52.4 |
| Gabe Parr | - | 22 | 10.9 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 4.9 | -41 | -2.0 | -27.5 | 59.3 | 0 | 51.7 | -3.57 | 59.2 | 59.3 |
| Joshua Chesney | - | 22 | 8.6 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 20 | 1.0 | 13.1 | 49.3 | 40.0 | 90.9 | 0.57 | 63.5 | 58.0 |
| Samuel Norris | - | 19 | 13.0 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 5.2 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 45.0 | 72.0 | 2.99 | 61.9 | 58.0 |
| Carter Ruck | - | 22 | 11.9 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 10 | 0.5 | 5.7 | 37.9 | 37.0 | 75.0 | 2.05 | 53.3 | 50.8 |
| Bangaly Berete | - | 20 | 12.8 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 4.1 | - | - | - | 43.6 | 0.0 | 72.4 | 2.07 | 50.9 | 43.6 |
| Paul Jordan | - | 15 | 8.9 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 3.1 | 1.7 | - | - | - | 43.5 | 28.6 | 100.0 | 1.39 | 52.3 | 50.0 |
| Trevor McDonald | - | 17 | 17.3 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 4.9 | - | - | - | 47.6 | 33.3 | 41.7 | 0.99 | 51.8 | 52.4 |
| Trent Medearis | - | 21 | 8.7 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 9 | 0.5 | 6.8 | 40.7 | 28.6 | 50.0 | 2.03 | 45.9 | 44.4 |
| Kobe Closeil | - | 12 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 2.4 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 0.19 | 51.0 | 44.4 |
| Marley Stewart | - | 10 | 6.2 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 32.1 | 28.6 | 100.0 | -1.77 | 41.6 | 39.3 |
| Benjamin Wagner | - | 22 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 29 | 1.4 | 25.6 | 56.7 | 20.0 | 60.0 | 1.34 | 61.5 | 60.0 |
| Elias DeMent | - | 20 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.1 | -4 | -0.2 | -12.8 | 45.2 | 0.0 | 62.5 | -0.2 | 49.9 | 45.2 |
| Jadon Holmes | - | 12 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.9 | -20 | -6.7 | -72.0 | 46.7 | 0.0 | 54.5 | -0.49 | 50.4 | 46.7 |
| Jake Miller | - | 11 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 16 | 1.6 | 590.8 | 57.1 | 60.0 | 0 | 1.79 | 78.6 | 78.6 |
| Luke Bledsoe | - | 17 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 10 | 0.7 | 78.2 | 20.0 | 13.3 | 50.0 | -1.01 | 28.7 | 25.0 |
| Javon Toliver | - | 18 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.4 | -22 | -1.3 | -46.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 33.3 | -4.21 | 47.0 | 50.0 |
| Max Sprott | - | 13 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | -5 | -0.4 | -87.6 | 36.4 | 28.6 | 0.0 | -4.36 | 43.7 | 45.5 |
| Patrick Mahoney | - | 12 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.9 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 20.0 | 66.7 | - | 39.8 | 35.0 |
| Julian Dupertuis | - | 8 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 13 | 1.9 | 1418.2 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Nate Freisthler | - | 6 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Zach Austin | - | 12 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | -14 | -1.3 | -178.7 | 20.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -2.55 | 37.0 | 20.0 |
| Sean Tisdall | - | 9 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -36.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 31.5 | 33.3 |
| Landon Harlin | - | 1 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG