Trevecca Nazarene
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1105 (#93) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1103 (#100) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1042 (#164) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.5 (#137) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.7 (#203) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.538 (#344) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.821 (#171) | NetEff +11.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.801 (#274) | AdjNet +12.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.814 (#272) | AdjNet +12.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.691 (#261) | AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 60.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.660 (#114) | AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 58.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.704 (#171) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.705 (#165) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1072 (#174) | RD 93 | GP 25 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Murray St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Oakwood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Fisk | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Barry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Lynn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | Emory & Henry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | AUM | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Montevallo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | UAH | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | West Ala. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | West Florida | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Thomas More | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Mississippi Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Christian Brothers | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Union (TN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Montevallo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | AUM | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | West Ala. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | UAH | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | West Florida | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Valdosta St. | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Gillies | - | 21 | 34.7 | 15.6 | 7.0 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 13.7 | 14.1 | 61 | 2.7 | 12.1 | 38.7 | 33.6 | 78.2 | -0.27 | 50.9 | 46.3 |
| Cheyenne Trotter | - | 21 | 27.2 | 13.7 | 10.9 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 9.7 | 16.9 | -20 | -0.9 | -5.4 | 54.7 | 0 | 70.7 | -0.08 | 58.9 | 54.7 |
| Tatum Shaw | - | 21 | 35.6 | 12.7 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 12.0 | 4.5 | -15 | -0.7 | -3.0 | 41.3 | 31.3 | 68.8 | 4.15 | 51.3 | 50.6 |
| Brianna Burgess | - | 20 | 31.7 | 6.5 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 7.2 | 5.6 | 7 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 32.4 | 26.5 | 70.0 | -0.84 | 42.3 | 40.0 |
| Jayda Woods | - | 20 | 21.5 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 21 | 1.1 | 5.8 | 39.3 | 23.3 | 73.7 | 1.33 | 45.5 | 42.5 |
| Ava Jones | - | 13 | 10.2 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 6.0 | 41 | 2.9 | 30.3 | 71.0 | 0.0 | 81.5 | 3.46 | 77.0 | 71.0 |
| Shinae Howard Johnson | - | 19 | 13.1 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 40 | 2.1 | 43.9 | 37.2 | 23.5 | 56.0 | 0.47 | 42.7 | 39.7 |
| Natalia Hernandez | - | 21 | 19.1 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 2.4 | -87 | -4.3 | -38.6 | 42.6 | 30.8 | 80.0 | 0.51 | 49.9 | 48.5 |
| Ellie Butler | - | 16 | 8.8 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.7 | 1.8 | -24 | -1.5 | -48.8 | 27.1 | 20.0 | 66.7 | -3.76 | 36.6 | 31.4 |
| Jeannae Bolin | - | 14 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 23 | 1.5 | 32.7 | 54.8 | 0 | 37.5 | 0.89 | 53.6 | 54.8 |
| Dayonna Perryman | - | 10 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | -24 | -2.4 | -177.8 | 38.9 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -2.47 | 51.5 | 38.9 |
| Storm Wilson | - | 2 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | -52 | -2.6 | -24.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 2.41 | 51.5 | 50.0 |
| Olivia Onyemobi | - | 5 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | -4 | -0.8 | -32.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Carden Vailes | - | 7 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | -0.4 | -11 | -2.2 | -70.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ava Cathey | - | 6 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -6 | -1.2 | -49.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG