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Trevecca Nazarene

Season: 2026 2023 2022 2021
Also known as: Trevecca Nazarene
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1032 (#242) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1044 (#282) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1008 (#383) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +20.7 (#118) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.989 (#176) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.2 More → 0.879 (#190) AdjNet +17.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.7 More → 0.891 (#188) AdjNet +17.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 96.4 | AdjD 77.3 More → 0.849 (#142) AdjO 96.4 | AdjD 77.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.0 | AdjD 74.8 More → 0.639 (#165) AdjO 81.0 | AdjD 74.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.787 (#116) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.753 (#133) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1080 (#237) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Sewanee W 115 - 78

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jax Abernathy - 1 19.1 17.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 7.0 - - - 38.5 33.3 100.0 - 55.9 46.2
Drew Blackston - 1 17.4 15.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 7.0 - - - 54.5 100.0 66.7 - 60.9 59.1
Justin Bass - 1 20.9 14.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 11.0 - - - 62.5 57.1 0.0 - 82.9 87.5
Brett Wright - 1 17.8 13.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 13.0 - - - 62.5 60.0 0 - 81.2 81.2
Fred Bailey - 1 22.6 11.0 3.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 11.0 - - - 44.4 0.0 75.0 - 51.1 44.4
Isaiah Divens - 1 17.0 8.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 14.0 - - - 75.0 0.0 100.0 - 82.0 75.0
Jake Mulder - 1 16.1 5.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 0.0 - 51.2 62.5
Spencer White - 1 20.9 5.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 - - - 40.0 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Aiden Williams - 1 5.9 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 24 1.1 8.0 66.7 100.0 0 1.35 83.3 83.3
Mason Brown - 1 8.8 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 12 1.2 17.5 50.0 50.0 0 -1.95 75.0 75.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG