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Trevecca Nazarene

Season:
Also known as: Trevecca Nazarene Trojans
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1008 (#175) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1173 (#56) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1044 (#136) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +14.2 (#53) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +4.2 (#258) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.683 (#232) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +49.0 More → 0.997 (#60) NetEff +49.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.8 More → 0.831 (#208) AdjNet +13.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.9 More → 0.835 (#212) AdjNet +13.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.6 | AdjD 73.6 More → 0.732 (#204) AdjO 84.6 | AdjD 73.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 83.4 | AdjD 78.9 More → 0.599 (#151) AdjO 83.4 | AdjD 78.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.655 (#187) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.643 (#190) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 23 More → 1109 (#107) RD 95 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.