Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1065 (#152) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1100 (#140) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1019 (#304) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +28.5 (#65) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#90) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.979 (#86) | AdjNet +33.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.980 (#90) | AdjNet +32.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.917 (#70) | AdjO 92.1 | AdjD 65.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.839 (#13) | AdjO 88.0 | AdjD 69.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.881 (#36) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.860 (#34) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 991 (#373) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Williamson | - | 1 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 114.3 | 114.3 |
| Christian May | - | 1 | 15.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 75.0 | 66.7 | - | 78.1 | 78.6 |
| Tyler Tejada | - | 1 | 17.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 83.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 87.2 | 83.3 |
| Jaiden Cole | - | 1 | 21.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 56.2 | 56.2 |
| Tyler Coleman | - | 1 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 51.5 | 50.0 |
| Mekhi Lowery | - | 1 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 92.6 | 100.0 |
| Charles Thompson | - | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.64 | 103.1 | 100.0 |
| Tomiwa Sulaiman | - | 1 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 78.8 | 75.0 |
| Brandon Held | - | 1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Cole Paar | - | 1 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Chase Paar | - | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 60.0 | - | 68.2 | 0 |
| Nendah Tarke | - | 1 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 21.4 | 21.4 |
| Messiah Jones | - | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 33 | 16.5 | 44.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.3 | 23.1 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG