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Towson

Season: 2026 2024 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Towson
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1065 (#152) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1100 (#140) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1019 (#304) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +28.5 (#65) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#90) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +33.1 More → 0.979 (#86) AdjNet +33.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +32.6 More → 0.980 (#90) AdjNet +32.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 92.1 | AdjD 65.7 More → 0.917 (#70) AdjO 92.1 | AdjD 65.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 88.0 | AdjD 69.8 More → 0.839 (#13) AdjO 88.0 | AdjD 69.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.881 (#36) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.860 (#34) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 991 (#373) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-11 vs Wilson W 101 - 62
2025-12-19 vs Notre Dame (MD) W 107 - 60

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tyler Coleman - 1 23.5 19.0 10.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 26.0 - - - 71.4 0 90.0 - 83.3 71.4
Jaiden Cole - 2 22.9 15.0 6.0 5.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 10.5 17.0 -1 -0.1 -1.6 52.4 66.7 0 0.03 71.4 71.4
Ryan Conway - 1 22.9 15.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 12.0 - - - 62.5 57.1 100.0 - 88.9 87.5
Dylan Williamson - 2 19.6 13.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 8.5 9.0 - - - 52.9 45.5 100.0 - 71.0 67.6
Jaquan Womack - 2 22.7 12.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.5 9.5 10.0 - - - 47.4 14.3 83.3 - 55.5 50.0
Tyler Tejada - 1 20.3 11.0 8.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 14.0 - - - 50.0 25.0 100.0 - 61.9 56.2
Mor Seck - 2 11.6 10.5 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 6.5 9.5 - - - 76.9 0 50.0 - 75.6 76.9
Chike Ndefo - 2 21.8 9.0 7.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 5.0 12.5 - - - 70.0 100.0 75.0 - 76.5 75.0
Tyler Schmidt - 2 18.9 8.5 1.5 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 4.5 9.0 - - - 77.8 60.0 0 - 94.4 94.4
Jack Doumbia - 2 15.7 6.5 4.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 7.0 5.5 - - - 42.9 0.0 50.0 - 43.7 42.9
Caleb Embeya - 2 13.7 4.5 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.5 5.0 - - - 57.1 0 50.0 - 57.1 57.1
Abdou Samb - 1 19.4 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 - - - 100.0 0 0.0 - 69.4 100.0
Ryan Skerry - 2 10.1 1.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 -4.0 - - - 8.3 12.5 0 - 12.5 12.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG