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Towson

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Towson Tigers
Program History
Coach: Pat Skerry

2018 Team Stats (1 games)

89.0
PPG
71.0
Opp
+18.0
Margin
54.0%
FG%
54.5%
3P%
81.8%
FT%
38.0
RPG
18.0
APG
14.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.6
Adj PPG
70.7
Adj Opp PPG
#136
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 953 (#203) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1042 (#144) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 966 (#218) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +1.7 (#140) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -0.7 (#172) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.614 (#103) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.6 More → 0.519 (#160) AdjNet +0.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.8 More → 0.522 (#160) AdjNet +0.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 70.7 More → 0.542 (#136) AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 70.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 72.6 More → 0.498 (#171) AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 72.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.474 (#181) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.465 (#188) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 147 | GP 30 More → 951 (#206) RD 147 | GP 30

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 54 - 57
2017-11-13 vs Frostburg State Bobcats W 89 - 45
2017-11-17 @ Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 95 - 72
2017-11-20 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 76 - 52
2017-11-21 @ Pennsylvania Quakers W 79 - 71
2017-11-22 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 70 - 67
2017-11-27 vs St. Mary's (MD) Seahawks W 90 - 57
2017-12-01 @ La Salle Explorers W 67 - 60
2017-12-02 @ Manhattan Jaspers W 56 - 55
2017-12-06 vs Morgan State Bears W 82 - 78
2017-12-09 vs UMBC Retrievers W 78 - 65
2017-12-20 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 86 - 97
2017-12-22 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 59 - 63
2017-12-30 @ Charleston Cougars L 62 - 73
2018-01-02 @ Elon Phoenix L 72 - 75
2018-01-05 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 89 - 71
2018-01-07 vs Charleston Cougars W 73 - 62
2018-01-11 vs Hofstra Pride L 73 - 76
2018-01-13 @ William & Mary Tribe W 99 - 73
2018-01-18 vs Drexel Dragons W 90 - 68
2018-01-20 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 71 - 73
2018-01-25 vs William & Mary Tribe W 96 - 82
2018-01-27 vs Elon Phoenix L 76 - 83
2018-02-01 @ Delaware Blue Hens W 75 - 71
2018-02-03 @ James Madison Dukes L 73 - 79
2018-02-08 @ Drexel Dragons W 94 - 92
2018-02-10 vs Northeastern Huskies L 62 - 77
2018-02-15 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 67 - 65
2018-02-17 vs James Madison Dukes L 66 - 69
2018-02-22 @ Northeastern Huskies L 75 - 80
2018-02-24 @ Hofstra Pride L 86 - 91
2018-03-04 @ William & Mary Tribe L 66 - 80

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Zane Martin Zane Martin G 30 30.4 19.7 3.6 2.7 0.7 0.2 2.4 2.3 22.2 37 26 1.4 2.1 41.2 35.5 84.2 -0.26 387.0 49.3
Mike Morsell Mike Morsell G 30 28.4 14.3 4.2 1.0 1.1 0.4 1.8 2.3 16.9 66 26 2.5 4.0 44.3 44.4 76.9 1.2 282.6 55.7
Justin Gorham Justin Gorham C 1 22.0 10.0 10.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 13.0 35 26 1.3 2.5 42.9 0 80.0 0.46 54.3 42.9
Eddie Keith Eddie Keith G 30 24.9 9.1 4.9 2.0 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.1 15.5 74 26 2.8 5.1 50.0 37.5 55.6 1.15 378.2 54.7
Brian Starr Brian Starr G 28 30.9 8.2 2.6 2.6 1.1 0.1 2.0 1.1 11.6 31 24 1.3 1.9 40.0 57.1 83.3 -2.59 326.0 53.3
Deshaun Morman Deshaun Morman G 21 20.9 8.0 2.8 1.4 1.3 0.4 1.8 1.1 11.0 82 17 4.8 10.5 50.0 55.6 66.7 3.73 317.2 60.4
Jordan McNeil Jordan McNeil G 29 16.7 4.7 1.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.8 0.8 6.2 64 26 2.5 6.3 50.0 40.0 62.5 0.98 264.5 59.1
Dennis Tunstall Dennis Tunstall F 30 15.4 2.8 4.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 0.4 0.3 8.2 24 26 0.9 2.7 62.5 0 0 -1.58 518.8 62.5
Alex Thomas Alex Thomas F 30 15.5 2.6 3.8 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.5 6.5 14 26 0.5 1.5 43.8 0 58.3 -2.22 180.9 43.8
Travis Ingram Travis Ingram - 11 8.3 1.1 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 2.8 - - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 150.0 50.0
Van Rolle Van Rolle G 6 2.8 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jeffrey Prophete Jeffrey Prophete - 12 4.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.1 0.3 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG