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Towson

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Towson Tigers
Program History
Coach: Pat Skerry

2016 Team Stats (29 games)

69.3
PPG
66.0
Opp
+3.3
Margin
42.1%
FG%
30.0%
3P%
67.4%
FT%
38.9
RPG
10.8
APG
12.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.5
Adj PPG
67.8
Adj Opp PPG
#156
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 976 (#182) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1050 (#139) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More → 996 (#177) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +0.7 (#152) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +1.0 (#148) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.562 (#138) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.3 More → 0.508 (#160) AdjNet +0.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.3 More → 0.507 (#161) AdjNet +0.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 67.8 More → 0.515 (#156) AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 67.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 69.0 More → 0.502 (#160) AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 69.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.510 (#161) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.508 (#159) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 123 | GP 31 More → 1013 (#158) RD 123 | GP 31

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-14 @ La Salle Explorers L 76 - 78
2015-11-16 vs Morgan State Bears W 69 - 61
2015-11-19 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys L 52 - 69
2015-11-20 vs Ole Miss Rebels L 60 - 76
2015-11-22 @ Bradley Braves W 62 - 60
2015-11-25 vs Gallaudet Bison W 88 - 45
2015-11-28 @ Coppin State Eagles W 81 - 77
2015-12-02 vs George Mason Patriots W 75 - 54
2015-12-05 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 83 - 61
2015-12-08 @ Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 65 - 54
2015-12-18 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 68 - 69
2015-12-20 vs Rio Grande Red Storm W 88 - 47
2015-12-23 vs UMBC Retrievers W 91 - 65
2015-12-31 @ William & Mary Tribe W 76 - 69
2016-01-02 vs Hofstra Pride L 58 - 90
2016-01-07 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 76 - 60
2016-01-09 @ James Madison Dukes L 59 - 73
2016-01-14 @ Delaware Blue Hens W 79 - 77
2016-01-16 vs Drexel Dragons W 69 - 50
2016-01-21 vs Charleston Cougars L 37 - 40
2016-01-23 @ Northeastern Huskies W 79 - 72
2016-01-28 @ Drexel Dragons W 77 - 70
2016-01-30 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 101 - 97
2016-02-04 @ Charleston Cougars L 47 - 65
2016-02-06 @ Elon Phoenix W 81 - 77
2016-02-11 vs Northeastern Huskies L 44 - 47
2016-02-13 vs William & Mary Tribe W 99 - 82
2016-02-18 @ Hofstra Pride L 82 - 84
2016-02-20 vs Elon Phoenix W 67 - 56
2016-02-25 vs James Madison Dukes W 69 - 67
2016-02-27 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 68 - 74
2016-03-05 vs Northeastern Huskies L 60 - 71
2016-03-28 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 72 - 90

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Adala Moto A. Adala Moto F 29 28.6 13.8 8.2 1.5 0.9 0.0 2.9 10.0 11.6 24 24 1.0 1.5 43.6 29.4 73.3 -1.11 54.2 46.2
Byron Hawkins Byron Hawkins G 30 29.9 13.2 2.5 2.2 0.8 0.2 1.2 9.8 7.9 56 22 2.5 3.6 39.2 31.1 74.3 -0.77 58.5 48.0
Mike Morsell Mike Morsell G 32 30.2 13.2 4.2 2.6 1.1 0.6 2.2 10.5 8.8 94 24 3.9 5.4 37.7 30.0 72.4 2.85 53.9 43.0
John Davis John Davis F 32 25.4 10.2 5.4 0.6 0.6 0.4 1.2 7.8 8.2 43 24 1.8 3.0 45.8 36.7 68.8 -0.62 57.4 50.2
Timajh Parker-Rivera Timajh Parker-Rivera F 32 25.2 6.4 6.4 1.2 0.9 1.2 1.4 3.9 10.8 94 24 3.9 6.7 59.7 0.0 50.5 1.42 62.5 59.7
Walter Foster Walter Foster C 28 21.8 5.6 5.0 0.4 0.5 1.6 1.2 4.7 7.1 13 22 0.6 1.2 40.2 0 68.9 -1.98 49.1 40.2
Eddie Keith Eddie Keith G 31 22.4 5.0 2.6 1.6 1.0 0.5 1.0 3.9 5.9 37 24 1.5 3.0 38.3 29.3 63.2 -0.25 53.8 43.3
Jordan McNeil Jordan McNeil G 32 10.2 3.1 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.8 2.6 1.7 -21 23 -0.9 -4.1 38.1 31.2 47.6 -3.75 52.6 47.0
Alex Thomas Alex Thomas F 28 6.6 1.4 1.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 1.1 2.6 16 20 0.8 5.3 53.3 0 55.6 0.62 57.4 53.3
Josh Ivory Josh Ivory G 28 8.1 1.3 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.6 18 22 0.8 4.7 28.6 28.9 25.0 0.82 41.1 41.7
Mike Davis Mike Davis C 5 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 - - - - 100.0 0 0.0 - 69.4 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG