Towson
Model Outputs
1991-1992
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1042 (#127) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 984 (#158) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1084 (#55) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.0 (#161) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.0 (#126) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.722 (#57) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.420 (#169) | AdjNet -2.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.421 (#169) | AdjNet -2.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.506 (#150) | AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 77.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.641 (#51) | AdjO 81.0 | AdjD 74.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.544 (#133) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.571 (#121) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1018 (#139) | RD 143 | GP 29 |
1992 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1991-11-25 | @ | Colorado | L | 83 - 93 |
| 1991-11-30 | @ | North Carolina | L | 88 - 98 |
| 1991-12-03 | vs | Lehigh | W | 99 - 97 |
| 1991-12-06 | @ | UMBC | L | 83 - 92 |
| 1991-12-07 | N | Mount St. Mary's | L | 77 - 91 |
| 1991-12-21 | @ | Maryland | L | 76 - 83 |
| 1991-12-28 | @ | Southern Methodist | L | 66 - 85 |
| 1991-12-30 | @ | Howard | L | 69 - 74 |
| 1992-01-04 | @ | Youngstown State | W | 67 - 52 |
| 1992-01-06 | @ | Tennessee | L | 70 - 77 |
| 1992-01-08 | @ | George Mason | L | 75 - 89 |
| 1992-01-11 | @ | Delaware | L | 69 - 90 |
| 1992-01-18 | @ | Buffalo | W | 77 - 65 |
| 1992-01-20 | @ | Bucknell | L | 72 - 85 |
| 1992-01-25 | @ | Central Connecticut State | W | 93 - 54 |
| 1992-01-27 | vs | Mount St. Mary's | W | 103 - 76 |
| 1992-02-01 | vs | Brooklyn | W | 96 - 56 |
| 1992-02-03 | @ | Loyola (MD) | W | 66 - 64 |
| 1992-02-06 | vs | Hofstra | W | 80 - 70 |
| 1992-02-08 | vs | Central Connecticut State | W | 94 - 70 |
| 1992-02-12 | @ | Rider | W | 78 - 75 |
| 1992-02-15 | vs | UMBC | W | 113 - 103 |
| 1992-02-17 | vs | Buffalo | W | 98 - 65 |
| 1992-02-20 | @ | Brooklyn | W | 89 - 66 |
| 1992-02-22 | @ | Hofstra | L | 87 - 89 |
| 1992-02-29 | vs | Rider | L | 78 - 79 |
| 1992-03-07 | N | Buffalo | W | 122 - 58 |
| 1992-03-08 | N | Rider | W | 90 - 77 |
| 1992-03-09 | N | Hofstra | W | 69 - 61 |
1992 Roster
No roster data available for this season.