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Towson

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Towson Tigers
Program History
Coach: Pat Skerry

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

63.5
PPG
78.0
Opp
-14.5
Margin
37.8%
FG%
28.9%
3P%
54.5%
FT%
35.5
RPG
9.5
APG
13.5
TO
68.2
Est. poss./game
65.3
Adj PPG
66.0
Adj Opp PPG
#163
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 950 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1016, returning +9, transfers -71, freshmen -4 More → 910 (#187) Preseason prior 950 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1016, returning +9, transfers -71, freshmen -4
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 974 (#172) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +274 elo More → 982 (#179) HCA +274 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +11.1 More → -2.7 (#191) HCA +11.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +11.1 More → -2.7 (#193) HCA +11.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.286 (#249) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.1 More → 0.400 (#233) AdjNet -9.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.1 More → 0.400 (#232) AdjNet -9.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 66.0 More → 0.478 (#163) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 66.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 66.0 More → 0.484 (#174) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 66.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.425 (#198) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.426 (#200) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 198 | GP 2 More → 943 (#199) RD 198 | GP 2

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 70 - 89
2026-11-05 @ Utah Utes L 57 - 67
2026-11-09 vs Long Island University Sharks - Preview
2026-11-12 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds - Preview
2026-11-14 @ Morgan State Bears - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaquan Womack Jaquan Womack G 2 32.0 14.0 9.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 2.0 12.5 10.0 -21 2 -10.5 -13.2 44.0 40.0 40.0 0.89 51.5 52.0
Zion Stanford Zion Stanford G 2 31.0 11.0 2.0 0.5 1.5 0.5 4.0 12.5 -1.0 -32 2 -16.0 -20.6 28.0 25.0 100.0 -4.32 39.8 32.0
Ben Roseborough Ben Roseborough G 2 24.0 10.0 1.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.5 4.0 -8 2 -4.0 -6.7 42.1 25.0 50.0 0.52 48.2 47.4
Christian Doerr Christian Doerr G 2 25.5 8.0 1.5 2.5 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.5 5.5 -8 2 -4.0 -6.2 33.3 25.0 57.1 1.0 44.2 40.0
Jon Barton Jon Barton G 2 18.0 7.0 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 5.5 2.5 -22 2 -11.0 -25.1 45.5 25.0 50.0 -1.58 51.3 50.0
Caleb Embeya Caleb Embeya F 2 20.5 6.0 5.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 2.0 9.5 -13 2 -6.5 -12.8 100.0 0 50.0 -0.21 79.8 100.0
Chike Ndefo Chike Ndefo G 2 19.5 3.5 7.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 4.5 9.0 -8 2 -4.0 -8.3 22.2 0.0 50.0 1.26 30.1 22.2
Alex Atkinson Alex Atkinson F 2 12.5 3.0 3.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 3.0 4.0 -8 2 -4.0 -12.6 33.3 100.0 0 0.07 50.0 50.0
Mani Sajid Mani Sajid G 2 6.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 -0.5 -12 2 -6.0 -38.8 25.0 0.0 0 -1.81 25.0 25.0
Stephon Ashley Wright Stephon Ashley Wright G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 - - - - 0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0
Denis Badalau Denis Badalau F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Brandon Holmes Brandon Holmes F 2 6.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 -6 2 -3.0 -19.5 0.0 0 0 -0.73 0.0 0.0
Devan Kirk Devan Kirk F 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 1 -2.0 -300.0 0 0 0 -0.76 0 0
Ryan Skerry Ryan Skerry G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jaylin Williams Crawford Jaylin Williams Crawford G 2 2.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 0 2 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -0.1 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

119 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Womack29% Roseborough33% Barton100% Roseborough100% Barton50% Womack100% Womack100% Roseborough50% Atkinson100% Doerr40%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Womack27% Stanford38% Roseborough100% Stanford100% Atkinson33% Doerr43% Womack50% Roseborough20% Roseborough29% Womack27%
Misses: who misses most here

Jaquan WomackBen RoseboroughZion StanfordChristian DoerrJon BartonAlex Atkinson

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 21-43 48.8 42 Jaquan Womack 29% (12 pts) Ben Roseborough 14% (6 pts) Jaquan Womack 27% (6 misses) Chike Ndefo 14% (3 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 6-19 31.6 12 Ben Roseborough 33% (4 pts) Caleb Embeya 33% (4 pts) Zion Stanford 38% (5 misses) Alex Atkinson 15% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 2-3 66.7 4 Jon Barton 100% (4 pts) - Ben Roseborough 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range center 1-4 25.0 2 Ben Roseborough 100% (2 pts) - Zion Stanford 100% (3 misses) -
Mid-range right 2-5 40.0 4 Jon Barton 50% (2 pts) Zion Stanford 50% (2 pts) Alex Atkinson 33% (1 misses) Ben Roseborough 33% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 1-8 12.5 3 Jaquan Womack 100% (3 pts) - Christian Doerr 43% (3 misses) Ben Roseborough 14% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 2-4 50.0 6 Jaquan Womack 100% (6 pts) - Jaquan Womack 50% (1 misses) Zion Stanford 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 4-9 44.4 12 Ben Roseborough 50% (6 pts) Alex Atkinson 25% (3 pts) Ben Roseborough 20% (1 misses) Chike Ndefo 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 1-8 12.5 3 Alex Atkinson 100% (3 pts) - Ben Roseborough 29% (2 misses) Mani Sajid 29% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 5-16 31.2 15 Christian Doerr 40% (6 pts) Jaquan Womack 20% (3 pts) Jaquan Womack 27% (3 misses) Ben Roseborough 18% (2 misses)