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Towson

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

70.8
PPG
65.5
Opp
+5.2
Margin
45.3%
FG%
35.2%
3P%
51.1%
FT%
39.3
RPG
10.3
APG
13.0
TO
67.2
Est. poss./game
69.2
Adj PPG
66.2
Adj Opp PPG
#131
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 950 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1016, returning +9, transfers -71, freshmen -4 More โ†’ 938 (#168) Preseason prior 950 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1016, returning +9, transfers -71, freshmen -4
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +206 elo More โ†’ 989 (#161) HCA +206 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +205 elo More โ†’ 990 (#161) HCA +205 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ +1.7 (#136) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ +1.8 (#136) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.587 (#129) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.8 More โ†’ 0.542 (#130) AdjNet +3.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.1 More โ†’ 0.548 (#128) AdjNet +4.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 66.2 More โ†’ 0.537 (#131) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 66.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 66.1 More โ†’ 0.539 (#130) AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 66.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.526 (#137) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.527 (#136) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 167 | GP 4 More โ†’ 973 (#171) RD 167 | GP 4
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.500 (#142) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 70 - 89
2026-11-05 @ Utah Utes L 57 - 67
2026-11-09 vs Long Island University Sharks W 66 - 46
2026-11-12 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 90 - 60
2026-11-14 vs UMBC Retrievers - Preview
2026-11-18 vs James Madison Dukes - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ben Roseborough Ben Roseborough G 4 27.2 14.0 1.5 2.2 0.5 0.0 1.2 11.2 5.8 51 3 17.0 22.8 48.9 27.8 58.3 1.08 55.7 54.4
Zion Stanford Zion Stanford G 4 29.2 13.2 5.0 0.5 2.8 0.2 3.2 12.0 6.5 27 3 9.0 12.7 39.6 40.0 75.0 -0.76 49.7 45.8
Jaquan Womack Jaquan Womack G 4 28.8 13.0 6.8 0.8 1.0 0.0 1.5 9.8 10.2 22 3 7.3 10.2 51.3 57.1 30.8 0.59 58.1 61.5
Christian Doerr Christian Doerr G 4 26.8 8.5 3.0 4.2 1.5 0.0 1.0 6.5 9.8 32 3 10.7 14.7 50.0 25.0 54.5 0.26 55.1 53.8
Jon Barton Jon Barton G 4 18.5 7.5 2.2 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 5.5 4.8 21 3 7.0 17.3 45.5 33.3 66.7 0.42 55.0 50.0
Caleb Embeya Caleb Embeya F 4 18.5 4.8 4.5 0.2 1.0 0.2 0.2 2.5 8.0 38 3 12.7 28.1 70.0 0 45.5 0.97 64.0 70.0
Chike Ndefo Chike Ndefo G 4 17.8 4.5 5.8 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.2 4.0 8.5 15 3 5.0 11.5 37.5 0.0 42.9 0.37 40.6 37.5
Alex Atkinson Alex Atkinson F 4 13.8 3.5 4.5 0.5 0.5 1.2 1.5 3.5 5.2 13 3 4.3 13.9 42.9 100.0 0 0.27 50.0 50.0
Stephon Ashley Wright Stephon Ashley Wright G 3 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.3 -0.7 -2 2 -1.0 -14.2 25.0 0.0 33.3 -0.39 28.2 25.0
Brandon Holmes Brandon Holmes F 4 7.5 0.5 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.8 0.8 -10 3 -3.3 -14.2 33.3 0 0.0 -0.84 25.8 33.3
Mani Sajid Mani Sajid G 4 5.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 -0.8 -6 3 -2.0 -19.5 16.7 0.0 0 -0.48 16.7 16.7
Denis Badalau Denis Badalau F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Devan Kirk Devan Kirk F 3 3.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 -1 2 -0.5 -5.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.29 0.0 0.0
Ryan Skerry Ryan Skerry G 2 3.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 -2 2 -1.0 -14.2 0 0 0 -0.55 0 0
Jaylin Williams Crawford Jaylin Williams Crawford G 2 2.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 2 1 2.0 56.5 0 0 0 -0.04 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

234 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Womack21% Roseborough28% Barton100% Roseborough50% Barton40% Womack50% Womack75% Roseborough44% Atkinson50% Womack38%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Womack21% Stanford26% Roseborough20% Stanford100% Roseborough29% Doerr38% Roseborough33% Stanford33% Roseborough40% Roseborough32%
Misses: who misses most here

Ben RoseboroughJaquan WomackZion StanfordChristian DoerrJon BartonAlex Atkinson

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 47-80 58.8 94 Jaquan Womack 21% (20 pts) Ben Roseborough 17% (16 pts) Jaquan Womack 21% (7 misses) Chike Ndefo 15% (5 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 25-59 42.4 50 Ben Roseborough 28% (14 pts) Zion Stanford 28% (14 pts) Zion Stanford 26% (9 misses) Alex Atkinson 15% (5 misses)
Mid-range left 2-7 28.6 4 Jon Barton 100% (4 pts) - Ben Roseborough 20% (1 misses) Christian Doerr 20% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 2-5 40.0 4 Ben Roseborough 50% (2 pts) Zion Stanford 50% (2 pts) Zion Stanford 100% (3 misses) -
Mid-range right 5-12 41.7 10 Jon Barton 40% (4 pts) Alex Atkinson 20% (2 pts) Ben Roseborough 29% (2 misses) Zion Stanford 29% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 2-10 20.0 6 Jaquan Womack 50% (3 pts) Zion Stanford 50% (3 pts) Christian Doerr 38% (3 misses) Ben Roseborough 12% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 4-7 57.1 12 Jaquan Womack 75% (9 pts) Ben Roseborough 25% (3 pts) Ben Roseborough 33% (1 misses) Jaquan Womack 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 9-15 60.0 27 Ben Roseborough 44% (12 pts) Zion Stanford 33% (9 pts) Zion Stanford 33% (2 misses) Ben Roseborough 17% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-12 16.7 6 Alex Atkinson 50% (3 pts) Jaquan Womack 50% (3 pts) Ben Roseborough 40% (4 misses) Zion Stanford 30% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 right 8-27 29.6 24 Jaquan Womack 38% (9 pts) Christian Doerr 25% (6 pts) Ben Roseborough 32% (6 misses) Jaquan Womack 16% (3 misses)