Towson
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 938 (#168) | Preseason prior 950 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1016, returning +9, transfers -71, freshmen -4 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 989 (#161) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 990 (#161) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +1.7 (#136) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +1.8 (#136) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.587 (#129) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.542 (#130) | AdjNet +3.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.548 (#128) | AdjNet +4.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.537 (#131) | AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 66.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.539 (#130) | AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 66.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.526 (#137) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.527 (#136) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 973 (#171) | RD 167 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.500 (#142) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Santa Clara Broncos | L | 70 - 89 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Utah Utes | L | 57 - 67 |
| 2026-11-09 | vs | Long Island University Sharks | W | 66 - 46 |
| 2026-11-12 | vs | Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | W | 90 - 60 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | UMBC Retrievers | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | James Madison Dukes | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ben Roseborough
|
G | 4 | 27.2 | 14.0 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 11.2 | 5.8 | 51 | 3 | 17.0 | 22.8 | 48.9 | 27.8 | 58.3 | 1.08 | 55.7 | 54.4 |
Zion Stanford
|
G | 4 | 29.2 | 13.2 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 12.0 | 6.5 | 27 | 3 | 9.0 | 12.7 | 39.6 | 40.0 | 75.0 | -0.76 | 49.7 | 45.8 |
Jaquan Womack
|
G | 4 | 28.8 | 13.0 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 9.8 | 10.2 | 22 | 3 | 7.3 | 10.2 | 51.3 | 57.1 | 30.8 | 0.59 | 58.1 | 61.5 |
Christian Doerr
|
G | 4 | 26.8 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 9.8 | 32 | 3 | 10.7 | 14.7 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 54.5 | 0.26 | 55.1 | 53.8 |
Jon Barton
|
G | 4 | 18.5 | 7.5 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 21 | 3 | 7.0 | 17.3 | 45.5 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 0.42 | 55.0 | 50.0 |
Caleb Embeya
|
F | 4 | 18.5 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 8.0 | 38 | 3 | 12.7 | 28.1 | 70.0 | 0 | 45.5 | 0.97 | 64.0 | 70.0 |
Chike Ndefo
|
G | 4 | 17.8 | 4.5 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 4.0 | 8.5 | 15 | 3 | 5.0 | 11.5 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 42.9 | 0.37 | 40.6 | 37.5 |
Alex Atkinson
|
F | 4 | 13.8 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 5.2 | 13 | 3 | 4.3 | 13.9 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.27 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Stephon Ashley Wright
|
G | 3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | -0.7 | -2 | 2 | -1.0 | -14.2 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -0.39 | 28.2 | 25.0 |
Brandon Holmes
|
F | 4 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | -10 | 3 | -3.3 | -14.2 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.84 | 25.8 | 33.3 |
Mani Sajid
|
G | 4 | 5.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | -0.8 | -6 | 3 | -2.0 | -19.5 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.48 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
Denis Badalau
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Devan Kirk
|
F | 3 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | -1 | 2 | -0.5 | -5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.29 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Ryan Skerry
|
G | 2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | 2 | -1.0 | -14.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.55 | 0 | 0 |
Jaylin Williams Crawford
|
G | 2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 56.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.04 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
234 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Ben RoseboroughJaquan WomackZion StanfordChristian DoerrJon BartonAlex Atkinson
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 47-80 | 58.8 | 94 | Jaquan Womack 21% (20 pts) | Ben Roseborough 17% (16 pts) | Jaquan Womack 21% (7 misses) | Chike Ndefo 15% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 25-59 | 42.4 | 50 | Ben Roseborough 28% (14 pts) | Zion Stanford 28% (14 pts) | Zion Stanford 26% (9 misses) | Alex Atkinson 15% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-7 | 28.6 | 4 | Jon Barton 100% (4 pts) | - | Ben Roseborough 20% (1 misses) | Christian Doerr 20% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-5 | 40.0 | 4 | Ben Roseborough 50% (2 pts) | Zion Stanford 50% (2 pts) | Zion Stanford 100% (3 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 5-12 | 41.7 | 10 | Jon Barton 40% (4 pts) | Alex Atkinson 20% (2 pts) | Ben Roseborough 29% (2 misses) | Zion Stanford 29% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-10 | 20.0 | 6 | Jaquan Womack 50% (3 pts) | Zion Stanford 50% (3 pts) | Christian Doerr 38% (3 misses) | Ben Roseborough 12% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 4-7 | 57.1 | 12 | Jaquan Womack 75% (9 pts) | Ben Roseborough 25% (3 pts) | Ben Roseborough 33% (1 misses) | Jaquan Womack 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 9-15 | 60.0 | 27 | Ben Roseborough 44% (12 pts) | Zion Stanford 33% (9 pts) | Zion Stanford 33% (2 misses) | Ben Roseborough 17% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 2-12 | 16.7 | 6 | Alex Atkinson 50% (3 pts) | Jaquan Womack 50% (3 pts) | Ben Roseborough 40% (4 misses) | Zion Stanford 30% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 8-27 | 29.6 | 24 | Jaquan Womack 38% (9 pts) | Christian Doerr 25% (6 pts) | Ben Roseborough 32% (6 misses) | Jaquan Womack 16% (3 misses) |