🐻⬇️🏀

Toledo

Season: 2026
Also known as: Toledo
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1046 (#184) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1005 (#246) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +33.6 (#10) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.998 (#17) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +33.2 More → 0.979 (#42) AdjNet +33.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +32.9 More → 0.981 (#37) AdjNet +32.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 94.4 | AdjD 67.6 More → 0.920 (#35) AdjO 94.4 | AdjD 67.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 83.8 | AdjD 72.6 More → 0.735 (#51) AdjO 83.8 | AdjD 72.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.880 (#19) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.853 (#27) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 343 | GP 1 More → 1099 (#121) RD 343 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-01 vs Central St. (OH) W 102 - 58

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Austin Parks - 1 22.1 27.0 10.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 11.0 32.0 - - - 90.9 0 87.5 - 93.0 90.9
Will James, Jr. - 1 24.0 12.0 6.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 12.0 -8 -0.4 -8.6 55.6 0.0 100.0 1.17 60.7 55.6
London Praytor - 1 12.3 12.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 8.0 17.0 - - - 75.0 0.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Leroy Blyden Jr. - 1 23.9 11.0 3.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 15.0 38 1.7 9.3 42.9 66.7 75.0 -0.37 62.8 57.1
Sonny Wilson - 1 24.8 11.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 7.0 9 0.4 4.7 40.0 0.0 75.0 -0.42 46.8 40.0
Kyler VanderJagt - 1 21.5 8.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 9.0 - - - 60.0 66.7 0 - 80.0 80.0
Jaylan Ouwinga - 1 17.8 6.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 10.0 6.0 - - - 30.0 0.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
Tyler Ode - 1 7.4 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 125.0 125.0
Sean Craig - 1 23.6 4.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 100.0 - 34.0 20.0
Toby Nwokolo - 1 6.4 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -1.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 0 - 40.0 40.0
Mynor Strong - 1 16.1 2.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 3.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG