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Toledo

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Toledo Rockets, Toledo
Program History
Coach: Tod Kowalczyk

2011 Team Stats (2 games)

47.0
PPG
83.0
Opp
-36.0
Margin
37.1%
FG%
28.6%
3P%
64.5%
FT%
24.5
RPG
10.5
APG
20.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
57.1
Adj PPG
71.0
Adj Opp PPG
#329
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 614 (#332) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 642 (#340) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More → 798 (#345) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -14.3 (#328) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -15.4 (#332) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.074 (#339) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -22.5 More → 0.069 (#331) AdjNet -22.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -22.7 More → 0.067 (#331) AdjNet -22.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.1 | AdjD 71.0 More → 0.221 (#329) AdjO 57.1 | AdjD 71.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 70.8 More → 0.243 (#339) AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 70.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.139 (#337) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.141 (#337) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 144 | GP 29 More → 654 (#337) RD 144 | GP 29

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-10 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 45 - 84
2010-11-14 @ Temple Owls L 49 - 82
2010-11-19 vs UIC Flames L 51 - 57
2010-11-20 vs Rhode Island Rams L 65 - 76
2010-11-21 vs Charleston Cougars L 51 - 64
2010-11-24 @ Youngstown State Penguins L 67 - 73
2010-11-28 @ UIC Flames L 62 - 63
2010-12-04 vs Cincinnati Bearcats L 47 - 81
2010-12-08 @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons L 65 - 78
2010-12-11 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 75 - 72
2010-12-18 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 75 - 63
2010-12-21 vs IU Northwest INDIANA-NORTHWEST W 80 - 44
2010-12-30 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 42 - 64
2011-01-03 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 41 - 83
2011-01-08 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles L 48 - 71
2011-01-12 @ Central Michigan Chippewas L 52 - 65
2011-01-15 @ Northern Illinois Huskies L 54 - 64
2011-01-19 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 73 - 60
2011-01-22 vs Ball State Cardinals L 60 - 70
2011-01-25 vs Bowling Green Falcons L 64 - 70
2011-01-30 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 55 - 72
2011-02-02 @ Buffalo Bulls - Postponed
2011-02-03 @ Buffalo Bulls L 58 - 81
2011-02-05 vs Akron Zips L 41 - 59
2011-02-09 @ Ohio Bobcats L 58 - 71
2011-02-12 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks L 66 - 68
2011-02-15 @ Ball State Cardinals L 62 - 83
2011-02-19 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers L 58 - 75
2011-02-23 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 56 - 68
2011-02-26 vs Northern Illinois Huskies L 70 - 75
2011-03-01 vs Central Michigan Chippewas L 56 - 68
2011-03-05 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles L 50 - 69
2011-03-08 @ Ohio Bobcats L 57 - 74

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Malcolm Griffin Malcolm Griffin G-F 19 28.9 13.2 2.8 4.3 1.5 0.1 4.6 4.5 12.7 -99 24 -4.1 -7.3 39.5 26.9 76.5 1.61 134.3 43.6
Reese Holliday Reese Holliday F 13 33.7 10.5 6.6 1.8 0.8 0.2 2.3 2.0 15.5 -171 18 -9.5 -14.4 53.8 50.0 68.8 -3.17 205.8 57.7
Anthony Wright Anthony Wright F 18 27.0 7.9 3.6 1.9 0.9 0.1 1.7 2.1 10.6 -57 22 -2.6 -5.0 31.6 29.6 100.0 1.4 168.6 42.1
Delino Dear Delino Dear F 19 24.1 6.7 4.3 0.5 0.3 0.8 1.7 2.1 8.8 -146 24 -6.1 -12.2 45.0 0 65.0 -1.88 131.1 45.0
Jay Shunnar Jay Shunnar G 19 26.4 6.1 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.1 1.6 1.7 5.7 -138 23 -6.0 -12.3 37.5 38.9 70.0 -3.75 142.2 48.4
Justin Anyijong Justin Anyijong F-C 19 16.1 5.1 3.2 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.8 2.3 6.6 -83 24 -3.5 -12.0 32.6 25.0 62.5 -2.96 103.2 40.7
Hayden Humes Hayden Humes F 19 21.9 5.1 3.8 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.1 8.0 -134 24 -5.6 -11.3 52.4 33.3 65.6 -2.34 136.8 54.8
Zack Leahy Zack Leahy G 17 17.6 4.7 1.4 1.3 0.7 0.1 1.7 1.9 4.5 -74 22 -3.4 -10.4 40.6 40.0 78.6 -0.04 104.8 50.0
J.T. Thomas J.T. Thomas G 8 24.8 3.5 2.0 1.2 0.9 0.0 1.8 0.6 5.2 -73 15 -4.9 -10.0 60.0 100.0 83.3 -0.67 183.2 70.0
Jess Chadwell Jess Chadwell F 11 7.7 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.7 -13 10 -1.3 -7.9 60.0 100.0 75.0 -0.7 88.8 70.0
Richard Wonnell Richard Wonnell C 16 5.4 0.3 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.8 -22 18 -1.2 -11.4 0.0 0 25.0 -0.78 52.5 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG