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Toccoa Falls

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Toccoa Falls
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1086 (#88) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 985 (#344) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1015 (#332) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -9.7 (#496) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.942 (#206) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -3.0 More → 0.371 (#394) NetEff -3.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -21.7 More → 0.075 (#564) AdjNet -21.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -23.1 More → 0.062 (#572) AdjNet -23.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 55.3 | AdjD 69.5 More → 0.215 (#563) AdjO 55.3 | AdjD 69.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 61.2 More → 0.438 (#496) AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 61.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.303 (#526) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.322 (#518) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 292 | GP 3 More → 1066 (#235) RD 292 | GP 3

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-25 @ JWU Charlotte L 36 - 77

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jada Wood - 1 23.0 10.0 10.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 12.0 9.0 -207 -10.3 -123.4 25.0 0 100.0 -1.86 36.3 25.0
Kamiya Moore - 1 15.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 1.0 59 2.8 21.6 42.9 33.3 0 0.32 50.0 50.0
Valmary Nuñez - 1 28.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 -1.0 - - - 16.7 25.0 100.0 - 36.3 25.0
Lydia Wolfe - 1 22.0 4.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 6.0 11.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Riley Berninger - 1 20.0 4.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 -3.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 0.0 - 18.4 20.0
Keara McDaniel - 1 29.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 -4.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 75.0 - 22.2 0.0
Aimee Spurlock - 1 24.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 11.3 0.0
De'Mya Hill - 1 12.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Brooklyn Yon - 1 21.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 8.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Faith Jefferson - 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG