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Toccoa Falls

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2022 2019
Also known as: Toccoa Falls
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 886 (#459) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 798 (#500) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 937 (#572) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -47.2 (#687) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.001 (#696) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -59.9 More → 0.000 (#514) NetEff -59.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -65.8 More → 0.000 (#755) AdjNet -65.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -66.3 More → 0.000 (#754) AdjNet -66.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 43.8 | AdjD 85.5 More → 0.022 (#751) AdjO 43.8 | AdjD 85.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 48.9 | AdjD 73.3 More → 0.098 (#694) AdjO 48.9 | AdjD 73.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.017 (#697) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.023 (#697) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 280 | GP 5 More → 776 (#489) RD 280 | GP 5

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-19 @ Erskine L 48 - 86
2025-11-21 @ Newberry L 43 - 85
2025-12-03 @ Lees-McRae L 51 - 73
2025-12-09 @ Emmanuel (GA) L 24 - 82
2025-12-13 @ Young Harris L 21 - 105

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jada Wood - 5 26.1 9.0 6.2 0.8 1.0 0.4 3.0 9.4 5.0 - - - 36.2 0.0 64.7 - 41.3 36.2
Riley Berninger - 5 22.5 6.0 3.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 2.4 8.2 -1.0 - - - 29.3 22.7 50.0 - 35.8 35.4
Valmary Nunez - 5 25.8 6.0 1.4 2.2 0.6 0.0 4.0 7.2 -1.0 - - - 30.6 35.3 50.0 - 39.7 38.9
Keara McDaniel - 5 27.1 4.2 3.0 1.0 1.4 0.2 4.8 5.0 0.0 - - - 20.0 30.8 50.0 - 33.7 28.0
Brooklyn Yon - 5 24.1 3.8 5.4 1.0 0.6 0.4 3.8 6.6 0.8 - - - 21.2 23.8 0 - 28.8 28.8
De'Mya Hill - 5 9.4 2.8 0.4 0.0 0.8 0.2 1.4 2.2 0.6 - - - 45.5 50.0 37.5 - 48.2 50.0
Lydia Wolfe - 5 14.8 2.0 3.2 0.6 0.4 0.6 1.4 3.2 2.2 - - - 12.5 0.0 75.0 - 25.6 12.5
Kamiya Moore - 5 15.1 1.8 1.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.2 -1.4 - - - 12.5 0.0 41.7 - 21.1 12.5
Aimee Spurlock - 5 16.0 1.0 2.6 0.6 1.0 0.0 2.4 2.6 0.2 - - - 15.4 14.3 0 - 19.2 19.2
Faith Jefferson - 5 4.0 0.6 1.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.4 - - - 14.3 0 33.3 - 18.0 14.3
Makaila Hay - 3 8.7 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 12.9 0.0
Jazmine Flournoy - 4 12.2 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.0 -1.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG