🐻⬇️🏀

Toccoa Falls

Also known as: Toccoa Falls Eagles
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 967 (#528) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -25.8 (#867) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -33.1 (#638) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 77.4 More → 0.232 (#650) AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 77.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.081 (#637) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.102 (#643) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 302 | GP 3 More → 736 (#640) RD 302 | GP 3

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-12-18 @ Georgia State Panthers L 44 - 92
2021-12-30 @ Kennesaw State Owls L 51 - 108
2022-02-07 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 60 - 97

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
L. Hartenburg L. Hartenburg F 2 21.0 8.5 6.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 14.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.69 0 0
C. Mitchell C. Mitchell - 1 26.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 10.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.99 0 0
G. Sanders G. Sanders - 2 14.0 6.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 9.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.53 0 0
L. Gilsdorf L. Gilsdorf - 1 12.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.44 0 0
D. Ware D. Ware - 2 15.5 5.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5 7 0.3 0.4 0 0 0 -0.11 0 0
K. Colwell K. Colwell - 2 18.5 5.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 6.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.82 0 0
L. Smith L. Smith - 1 28.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 0.0 4.0 -239 -8.5 -13.9 0 0 0 0.81 0 0
N. Springs N. Springs F 1 10.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 21 1.3 5.5 0 0 0 0.15 0 0
M. Quartlebaum M. Quartlebaum F 1 15.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 107 10.7 50.5 0 0 0 1.13 0 0
K. Comer K. Comer - 3 17.7 3.7 2.0 1.0 1.7 0.0 1.3 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.57 0 0
R. McKenzie R. McKenzie - 3 9.7 1.3 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 3.3 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Godfrey R. Godfrey - 3 14.7 0.3 1.3 0.3 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 2.7 - - - 0 0 0 -0.54 0 0
A. Forde A. Forde F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DJ Thompson DJ Thompson G 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 -3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
O. Rankins O. Rankins C 2 15.0 0.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.79 0 0
D. Rivers D. Rivers - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 45 2.2 7.0 0 0 0 0.4 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG