Toccoa Falls
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 986 (#426) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -24.0 (#983) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -29.4 (#577) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.320 (#575) | AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 67.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.053 (#590) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.083 (#586) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 772 (#565) | RD 350 | GP 3 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-20 | @ | North Carolina Central Eagles | L | 40 - 94 |
| 2012-11-27 | @ | Presbyterian Blue Hose | L | 38 - 97 |
| 2012-12-13 | @ | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | L | 38 - 75 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Barrett
|
- | 2 | 34.5 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 14.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.68 | 0 | 0 |
J. Johnson
|
- | 2 | 31.0 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 213 | 6.9 | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.71 | 0 | 0 |
D. Westfall
|
- | 2 | 25.5 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.62 | 0 | 0 |
F. Harrell
|
- | 1 | 35.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.05 | 0 | 0 |
L. Ellis
|
- | 1 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.25 | 0 | 0 |
A. Hiten
|
- | 1 | 25.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.57 | 0 | 0 |
J. Sinclair
|
- | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.81 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG