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Toccoa Falls

Also known as: Toccoa Falls Eagles
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 986 (#426) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -24.0 (#983) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -29.4 (#577) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 67.9 More → 0.320 (#575) AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 67.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.053 (#590) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.083 (#586) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 3 More → 772 (#565) RD 350 | GP 3

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-20 @ North Carolina Central Eagles L 40 - 94
2012-11-27 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose L 38 - 97
2012-12-13 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 38 - 75

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Barrett J. Barrett - 2 34.5 15.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 5.5 0.0 14.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.68 0 0
J. Johnson J. Johnson - 2 31.0 6.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 213 6.9 10.8 0 0 0 0.71 0 0
D. Westfall D. Westfall - 2 25.5 5.0 6.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 13.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.62 0 0
F. Harrell F. Harrell - 1 35.0 5.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 -1.05 0 0
L. Ellis L. Ellis - 1 20.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 -1.25 0 0
A. Hiten A. Hiten - 1 25.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.57 0 0
J. Sinclair J. Sinclair - 1 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.0 -0.0 0 0 0 0.81 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG