Thomas More
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1180 (#39) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1255 (#18) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1157 (#34) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.3 (#71) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.5 (#177) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.622 (#321) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.876 (#150) | NetEff +14.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.840 (#252) | AdjNet +14.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.850 (#249) | AdjNet +14.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.704 (#253) | AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 57.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.703 (#82) | AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 56.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.794 (#105) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.792 (#100) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1245 (#31) | RD 100 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Lincoln (MO) | W | 62 - 43 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Missouri S&T | W | 59 - 48 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | West Virginia St. | W | 71 - 48 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Charleston (WV) | W | 68 - 54 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | UIndy | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Rollins | L | 56 - 91 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Findlay | W | 79 - 63 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Cedarville | L | 51 - 63 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Ashland | W | 94 - 84 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Saginaw Valley | W | 77 - 55 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Purdue Northwest | W | 68 - 67 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Trevecca Nazarene | W | 55 - 41 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Hillsdale | W | 69 - 65 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Ohio Dominican | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Malone | L | 41 - 58 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | W | 67 - 50 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Lake Erie | W | 82 - 77 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Walsh | W | 66 - 46 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Tiffin | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Ashland | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Cedarville | W | 75 - 53 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmyn Studamire | - | 1 | 28.1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 42.9 | 50.0 | - | 60.3 | 60.7 |
| Sereniti Webb | - | 20 | 24.1 | 14.2 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 10.4 | 9.9 | 76 | 3.6 | 15.9 | 56.0 | 0 | 72.1 | 0.61 | 59.2 | 56.0 |
| Rylee Turner | - | 20 | 30.2 | 10.8 | 7.4 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 8.7 | 13.2 | 125 | 6.0 | 23.3 | 39.9 | 20.0 | 81.0 | 0.66 | 51.2 | 42.5 |
| Rylee Leonard | - | 20 | 27.3 | 9.8 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 9.8 | 3.1 | 118 | 5.6 | 25.5 | 32.1 | 27.0 | 87.8 | 0.72 | 45.0 | 39.0 |
| Jade Studamire | - | 1 | 23.3 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 25.0 | 50.0 | - | 45.5 | 44.4 |
| Morgan Hunt | - | 20 | 30.0 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 6.8 | 7.3 | 183 | 8.7 | 36.2 | 48.9 | 34.3 | 51.9 | 2.83 | 57.9 | 57.8 |
| Izzy Rotert | - | 20 | 23.5 | 8.1 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 6.8 | 10.8 | 148 | 7.0 | 35.9 | 47.4 | 15.8 | 57.4 | 0.87 | 51.0 | 48.5 |
| LaTarius Montgomery | - | 1 | 13.7 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 48.1 | 42.9 |
| Desiree Tandy | - | 20 | 16.0 | 7.4 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 5.2 | 7.0 | 88 | 4.2 | 37.2 | 44.2 | 0.0 | 69.1 | 0.38 | 53.0 | 44.2 |
| Jamia Brown | - | 1 | 14.7 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 67 | 3.4 | 21.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.44 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Aaliyah Ringold | - | 1 | 15.2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Tieraney Bolton | - | 1 | 15.2 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 11 | 0.5 | 6.9 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.78 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Destiny Hill | - | 1 | 24.2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 45.0 | 50.0 |
| Amara Jackson | - | 20 | 15.8 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 4.6 | 61 | 2.9 | 21.0 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 55.2 | 0.82 | 48.8 | 46.0 |
| Laney Baker | - | 5 | 15.5 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 11 | 2.2 | 18.4 | 36.4 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.19 | 40.9 | 40.9 |
| Kennedy Hayes | - | 1 | 6.8 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Natalie Noel | - | 18 | 11.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 33 | 1.7 | 14.4 | 31.2 | 21.7 | 83.3 | 1.71 | 46.9 | 39.1 |
| Kendall Sterling | - | 20 | 11.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 57 | 2.7 | 27.9 | 26.5 | 27.3 | 80.0 | -0.62 | 41.7 | 35.3 |
| Zene Thompson | - | 12 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | -36 | -2.8 | -119.5 | 25.0 | 0 | 33.3 | -1.39 | 28.2 | 25.0 |
| Morgan Frey | - | 6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | -10 | -1.7 | -186.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.29 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Jersey Paul | - | 17 | 6.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 7 | 0.4 | 10.3 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.6 | 6.6 | 4.5 |
| Macy Oberlin | - | 8 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -13 | -1.4 | -58.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.38 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Mia Robbennolt | - | 9 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | -4 | -0.4 | -15.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.57 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
| Juliana Frazee | - | 1 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0 |
| Sheridan Green | - | 1 | 18.1 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -10 | -2.0 | -30.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kennedy Collins | - | 1 | 11.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| UNKNOWN Team | - | 1 | 28.7 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG