Thomas More
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1004 (#179) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1090 (#114) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 966 (#448) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.0 (#76) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.9 (#122) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.715 (#203) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.521 (#252) | NetEff +0.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.859 (#190) | AdjNet +15.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.864 (#188) | AdjNet +15.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.745 (#186) | AdjO 78.5 | AdjD 66.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.719 (#60) | AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 65.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.702 (#136) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.697 (#135) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1017 (#211) | RD 92 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Southwest Baptist | W | 70 - 53 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Drury | L | 59 - 71 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | UIndy | W | 83 - 78 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Georgia College | L | 71 - 95 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | UC Clermont | W | 98 - 74 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Findlay | L | 74 - 88 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Cedarville | W | 86 - 78 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Boyce | W | 93 - 55 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Ashland | L | 88 - 91 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Northwood | L | 100 - 102 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Columbus St. | L | 59 - 78 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Miami-Hamilton | W | 79 - 50 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Kentucky St. | W | 92 - 61 |
| 2026-01-05 | vs | Ohio Dominican | L | 61 - 62 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Northwood | W | 75 - 71 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Hillsdale | L | 51 - 54 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Ohio Dominican | L | 55 - 66 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Malone | W | 68 - 62 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 62 - 76 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Tiffin | W | 83 - 54 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Walsh | L | 76 - 80 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Lake Erie | L | 86 - 91 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Ashland | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Cedarville | W | 82 - 62 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Simpson | - | 22 | 29.0 | 19.0 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 14.7 | 13.0 | 113 | 5.1 | 20.5 | 47.1 | 34.5 | 73.3 | 4.33 | 55.9 | 51.5 |
| Tyson Anderson | - | 2 | 27.0 | 16.5 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 12.5 | 46 | 2.2 | 14.5 | 45.5 | 42.9 | 87.5 | 1.57 | 64.7 | 59.1 |
| Daniel Allen | - | 21 | 28.8 | 12.4 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 9.4 | 7.9 | 31 | 1.5 | 6.7 | 44.2 | 40.0 | 75.6 | -2.19 | 60.0 | 57.4 |
| Mitchell Rylee | - | 22 | 22.5 | 9.6 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 6.3 | 9.8 | 71 | 3.2 | 20.1 | 64.5 | 0 | 70.8 | 0.58 | 66.6 | 64.5 |
| Colin McHale | - | 16 | 28.9 | 8.0 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 7.4 | 7.7 | 24 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 43.2 | 22.6 | 67.9 | -2.12 | 49.1 | 46.2 |
| Ryan Paris | - | 18 | 20.9 | 7.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 39 | 2.2 | 14.6 | 48.9 | 48.1 | 83.3 | 0.69 | 71.2 | 70.6 |
| Armani Thomas | - | 2 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | -37 | -3.4 | -94.1 | 46.2 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -2.23 | 48.9 | 46.2 |
| Atraiel Washington | - | 2 | 23.4 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 90 | 3.9 | 22.4 | 46.2 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -1.6 | 48.9 | 46.2 |
| Jashaun Pouncy | - | 21 | 17.0 | 6.6 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.2 | 5.7 | -6 | -0.3 | -1.7 | 53.2 | 0.0 | 52.3 | -0.19 | 54.1 | 53.2 |
| Colin McClure | - | 21 | 17.6 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 5.6 | 3.1 | -48 | -2.3 | -18.3 | 38.5 | 35.0 | 96.2 | -1.7 | 52.9 | 47.4 |
| Jojo Thomas | - | 2 | 12.9 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | -36 | -7.2 | -65.5 | 33.3 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -1.65 | 55.8 | 38.9 |
| Ja'vian Baker | - | 2 | 16.6 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 28 | 2.5 | 160.8 | 33.3 | 14.3 | 60.0 | -0.99 | 42.3 | 37.5 |
| Carson Browne | - | 19 | 20.6 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 4.3 | 6.4 | 119 | 6.3 | 40.6 | 48.1 | 43.8 | 25.0 | 4.97 | 67.1 | 67.9 |
| Eli Curry | - | 1 | 15.7 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Zion Crowe | - | 11 | 11.3 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 19 | 1.7 | 38.2 | 50.0 | 22.2 | 33.3 | 0.72 | 55.2 | 55.9 |
| Jordan Howe | - | 2 | 5.1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Jack McCune | - | 16 | 13.7 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 8 | 0.5 | 4.1 | 30.0 | 27.3 | 61.9 | -1.81 | 43.7 | 37.5 |
| Deonta Jones | - | 2 | 18.4 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 65 | 3.2 | 44.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.08 | 36.3 | 33.3 |
| Noah Lattin | - | 2 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 31.6 | 20.0 |
| Josh Robertson | - | 2 | 11.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 30.7 | 0.0 |
| Tyler Johnson | - | 15 | 12.2 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 25 | 1.7 | 8.9 | 54.2 | 40.0 | 16.7 | 2.38 | 54.4 | 58.3 |
| Carter Mallernee | - | 14 | 13.6 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 45 | 3.2 | 17.5 | 23.1 | 26.1 | 50.0 | 1.96 | 35.3 | 34.6 |
| Andre Lightbourne | - | 2 | 14.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| Christian Nurse | - | 1 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
| Cam McClain | - | 8 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.1 | -16 | -2.0 | -67.1 | 23.1 | 18.2 | 0 | -1.23 | 30.8 | 30.8 |
| Will Frey | - | 6 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | -0.2 | 1 | 0.2 | 16.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.14 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG