Thomas (ME)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 893 (#288) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 823 (#329) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 905 (#668) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -23.4 (#377) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -22.1 (#699) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.236 (#323) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.038 (#375) | AdjNet -28.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.035 (#375) | AdjNet -28.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.126 (#374) | AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 87.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.246 (#715) | AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 77.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.140 (#718) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.156 (#716) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 828 (#532) | RD 99 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Stonehill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Elms | L | 57 - 83 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Me.-Fort Kent | L | 84 - 92 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Framingham St. | W | 77 - 58 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Colby | L | 73 - 96 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Husson | L | 71 - 85 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Me.-Presque Isle | W | 77 - 62 |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | VTSU-Johnson | W | 74 - 65 |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | Me.-Farmington | L | 98 - 99 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Maine Maritime | W | 59 - 58 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Bates | L | 53 - 101 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Centre | L | 63 - 89 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Berea | L | 56 - 83 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Lesley | W | 80 - 61 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | SUNY Delhi | L | 56 - 64 |
| 2026-01-11 | @ | SUNY Cobleskill | L | 58 - 60 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Husson | L | 63 - 107 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Me.-Presque Isle | L | 78 - 87 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | VTSU-Johnson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-27 | vs | VTSU Lyndon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Maine Maritime | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Me.-Farmington | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Lesley | W | 82 - 67 |
| 2026-02-10 | @ | VTSU Lyndon | W | 109 - 96 |
| 2026-02-13 | vs | SUNY Cobleskill | W | 79 - 73 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | SUNY Delhi | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2026-02-19 | @ | Me.-Presque Isle | L | 79 - 88 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Blackmon | - | 21 | 33.1 | 16.4 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 13.1 | 14.8 | - | - | - | - | 52.5 | 32.5 | 60.0 | - | 56.2 | 54.9 |
| Yasmo Mohamud | - | 21 | 23.0 | 10.3 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 9.8 | 5.5 | - | - | - | - | 40.3 | 37.5 | 76.7 | - | 49.3 | 46.8 |
| Isaiah Godley | - | 23 | 22.2 | 10.3 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 8.6 | 8.2 | - | - | - | - | 40.4 | 29.0 | 65.7 | - | 48.7 | 42.7 |
| Jayden Desimone | - | 22 | 20.5 | 8.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 9.6 | 1.9 | - | - | - | - | 34.1 | 26.0 | 55.6 | - | 43.1 | 41.9 |
| Isiah Corson | - | 20 | 18.2 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 8.2 | - | - | - | - | 55.8 | 36.4 | 69.0 | - | 61.7 | 58.1 |
| Nate Hebert | - | 23 | 12.1 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 5.7 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 31.8 | 28.9 | 87.5 | - | 43.9 | 42.4 |
| Payton Mitchell | - | 22 | 26.6 | 4.9 | 6.2 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 4.6 | 8.8 | - | - | - | - | 40.2 | 21.1 | 63.6 | - | 45.9 | 42.2 |
| Brady Adams | - | 19 | 10.8 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | 36.8 | 32.7 | 87.5 | - | 51.7 | 49.3 |
| Jayden Kim | - | 17 | 11.3 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | 34.9 | 31.0 | 52.2 | - | 44.4 | 42.1 |
| Spencer Minihan | - | 23 | 18.0 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 4.4 | - | - | - | - | 36.8 | 19.0 | 63.6 | - | 42.9 | 40.4 |
| Faron Cureton | - | 11 | 9.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 17.1 | 16.7 | 75.0 | - | 31.0 | 22.9 |
| Ibrahim Doumbouya | - | 14 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 31.6 | 20.0 | 36.4 | - | 36.2 | 35.5 |
| Cole Perkins | - | 11 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 35.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | - | 45.1 | 35.0 |
| Colby Mitchell | - | 7 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 112.6 | 112.5 |
| DeNash Davis | - | 11 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | 54.5 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 56.8 | 54.5 |
| Landon Voros | - | 5 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 28.6 | 28.6 | 0 | - | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Lance Crowell | - | 9 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 22.2 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 35.4 | 27.8 |
| Omri Sarid | - | 8 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 28.6 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Pepito Girumugisha | - | 4 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 20.5 | 0.0 |
| Calan Denne | - | 5 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG