Thomas (ME)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 814 (#608) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 804 (#587) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 905 (#668) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -26.7 (#402) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -22.1 (#699) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.236 (#636) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.038 (#718) | AdjNet -28.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.035 (#718) | AdjNet -28.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.126 (#719) | AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 87.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.246 (#715) | AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 77.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.140 (#718) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.156 (#716) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 827 (#540) | RD 99 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Stonehill | L | 48 - 100 |
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Elms | L | 57 - 83 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Me.-Fort Kent | L | 84 - 92 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Framingham St. | W | 77 - 58 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Colby | L | 73 - 96 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Husson | L | 71 - 85 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Me.-Presque Isle | W | 77 - 62 |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | VTSU-Johnson | W | 74 - 65 |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | Me.-Farmington | L | 98 - 99 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Maine Maritime | W | 59 - 58 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Bates | L | 53 - 101 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Centre | L | 63 - 89 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Berea | L | 56 - 83 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Lesley | W | 80 - 61 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | SUNY Delhi | L | 56 - 64 |
| 2026-01-11 | @ | SUNY Cobleskill | L | 58 - 60 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Husson | L | 63 - 107 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Me.-Presque Isle | L | 78 - 87 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | VTSU-Johnson | W | 82 - 66 |
| 2026-01-27 | vs | VTSU Lyndon | W | 78 - 72 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Maine Maritime | L | 69 - 71 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Me.-Farmington | L | 83 - 95 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Lesley | W | 82 - 67 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiwer Mayen | - | 1 | 16.0 | 18.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 13.1 | 81.8 | 0 | 0 | -1.18 | 81.8 | 81.8 |
| TJ Blackmon | - | 20 | 32.7 | 16.1 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 12.9 | 14.3 | -50 | -2.5 | -14.5 | 52.5 | 33.3 | 56.9 | 0.3 | 56.0 | 55.0 |
| Brady Coyne | - | 1 | 19.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | -12 | -0.7 | -4.3 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 100.0 | -0.75 | 100.9 | 100.0 |
| Babacar Pouye | - | 1 | 19.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 6 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.88 | 68.5 | 57.1 |
| Yasmo Mohamud | - | 18 | 22.8 | 10.2 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 9.6 | 5.6 | -43 | -2.3 | -22.4 | 39.9 | 38.1 | 81.5 | -2.38 | 49.8 | 46.8 |
| Isaiah Godley | - | 19 | 21.8 | 10.1 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 8.3 | 8.6 | -30 | -1.4 | -9.5 | 39.2 | 26.1 | 64.6 | 1.69 | 47.9 | 41.1 |
| Jayden Desimone | - | 21 | 21.0 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 9.4 | 2.1 | -7 | -0.3 | -2.3 | 33.3 | 26.3 | 55.2 | 0.34 | 42.5 | 41.2 |
| Sean Chanakira | - | 1 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | -6 | -0.8 | -21.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.34 | 42.0 | 33.3 |
| Peter Psyhogeos | - | 1 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 45 | 2.6 | 19.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.24 | 50.9 | 50.0 |
| Isiah Corson | - | 19 | 20.2 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 4.6 | 8.4 | -25 | -1.2 | -20.0 | 54.5 | 33.3 | 67.4 | -1.42 | 60.5 | 56.8 |
| Aaron Feaster | - | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -83 | -5.2 | -57.3 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 33.3 | -2.53 | 69.4 | 83.3 |
| Nate Hebert | - | 20 | 12.1 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 5.8 | -0.1 | -54 | -2.6 | -36.8 | 32.5 | 31.9 | 66.7 | -4.13 | 45.6 | 44.9 |
| Brady Adams | - | 16 | 11.2 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.8 | 1.4 | -30 | -1.8 | -13.0 | 42.6 | 40.4 | 75.0 | -2.75 | 59.7 | 58.2 |
| Payton Mitchell | - | 21 | 25.2 | 4.0 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 4.3 | 8.2 | 12 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 34.1 | 17.6 | 69.0 | 2.14 | 41.0 | 35.7 |
| Ryan Ellis | - | 1 | 29.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | -59 | -4.2 | -19.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.95 | 31.1 | 33.3 |
| Aidan Lawlor | - | 1 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | 42 | 4.7 | 26.5 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.75 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Sean O'Leary | - | 1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 25 | 1.5 | 10.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -1.45 | 51.5 | 50.0 |
| Charlie Williams | - | 1 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 18 | 3.0 | 411.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.31 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Sammy Nzeyimana | - | 1 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -69 | -5.8 | -85.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.98 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Mateo Duran | - | 1 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -45 | -3.8 | -30.1 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.95 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jaxon Miles | - | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -14 | -1.2 | -11.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.9 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Jayden Kim | - | 16 | 10.6 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.4 | -0.1 | -57 | -3.4 | -44.7 | 27.3 | 20.0 | 47.1 | -1.21 | 34.4 | 31.8 |
| Faron Cureton | - | 11 | 10.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.7 | -0.4 | -22 | -2.0 | -41.7 | 14.6 | 13.8 | 71.4 | 0.2 | 27.6 | 19.5 |
| Ibrahim Doumbouya | - | 14 | 7.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 0.3 | -8 | -0.5 | -24.6 | 29.5 | 22.2 | 36.4 | -1.44 | 34.8 | 34.1 |
| Spencer Minihan | - | 21 | 18.1 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 3.6 | -91 | -4.3 | -28.8 | 35.2 | 11.1 | 63.6 | -3.03 | 39.9 | 37.0 |
| Landon Voros | - | 4 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Jamarick Preston | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -48 | -4.4 | -143.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.73 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Aydan Gedeon-Hope | - | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Colby Mitchell | - | 6 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.5 | -14 | -2.3 | -560.0 | 80.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -0.88 | 91.9 | 90.0 |
| Cole Perkins | - | 9 | 5.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0.4 | -11 | -1.1 | -46.1 | 23.5 | 0.0 | 70.0 | 0.01 | 35.0 | 23.5 |
| DeNash Davis | - | 8 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 3 | 0.3 | 13.3 | 80.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.29 | 82.7 | 80.0 |
| Lance Crowell | - | 7 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | -18 | -2.2 | -128.2 | 40.0 | 66.7 | 0 | -1.02 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Omri Sarid | - | 6 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | -7 | -1.0 | -57.3 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.04 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Calan Denne | - | 4 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -9 | -2.2 | -360.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.88 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Pepito Girumugisha | - | 4 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | -0.2 | -12 | -3.0 | -480.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.88 | 14.5 | 0.0 |
| Shane Biscaya | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -8 | -1.6 | -20.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Shea Fontanella | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 1 | 0.2 | 133.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.49 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Justin Hil | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 1.0 | 24.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| David Omasombo | - | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 57 | 4.8 | 138.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.01 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG