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The Citadel

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: The Citadel Bulldogs
Program History
Coach: Duggar Baucom

2017 Team Stats (2 games)

83.5
PPG
116.5
Opp
-33.0
Margin
38.0%
FG%
33.8%
3P%
72.2%
FT%
31.0
RPG
16.0
APG
16.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
83.2
Adj PPG
94.2
Adj Opp PPG
#316
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 777 (#306) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 852 (#276) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 921 (#283) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → -11.5 (#315) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → -9.7 (#300) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.219 (#311) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.0 More → 0.166 (#303) AdjNet -14.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.3 More → 0.161 (#304) AdjNet -14.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.2 | AdjD 94.2 More → 0.270 (#316) AdjO 83.2 | AdjD 94.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.4 | AdjD 86.6 More → 0.342 (#314) AdjO 79.4 | AdjD 86.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.261 (#304) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.274 (#303) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 30 More → 844 (#277) RD 149 | GP 30

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 @ Charleston Cougars L 68 - 81
2016-11-13 vs Johnson University Florida Suns W 146 - 84
2016-11-15 vs Truett McConnell Bears W 119 - 90
2016-11-18 @ Stetson Hatters W 116 - 112
2016-11-20 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 63 - 130
2016-11-23 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 110 - 127
2016-11-28 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 97 - 83
2016-12-02 vs Colgate Raiders W 108 - 101
2016-12-03 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 97 - 92
2016-12-04 vs Campbell Fighting Camels L 91 - 97
2016-12-07 vs Toccoa Falls Eagles W 144 - 94
2016-12-17 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 71 - 113
2016-12-19 @ UMBC Retrievers L 111 - 120
2016-12-28 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans L 87 - 95
2016-12-31 @ Furman Paladins L 68 - 83
2017-01-02 @ Wofford Terriers W 104 - 103
2017-01-05 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 71 - 115
2017-01-07 vs VMI Keydets W 79 - 74
2017-01-11 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 73 - 83
2017-01-14 vs Samford Bulldogs L 90 - 98
2017-01-19 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 95 - 100
2017-01-21 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 72 - 81
2017-01-28 @ Mercer Bears L 66 - 82
2017-02-02 vs Wofford Terriers L 90 - 100
2017-02-04 vs Furman Paladins L 91 - 99
2017-02-09 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 69 - 90
2017-02-11 @ VMI Keydets L 78 - 101
2017-02-18 vs Mercer Bears L 78 - 89
2017-02-22 vs Western Carolina Catamounts L 80 - 84
2017-02-25 @ Samford Bulldogs W 102 - 96
2017-02-27 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 85 - 76
2017-03-03 @ Western Carolina Catamounts W 78 - 72
2017-03-04 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 67 - 76

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Preston Parks Preston Parks G 15 27.3 16.7 3.2 4.7 2.4 0.1 2.6 4.2 20.4 -54 21 -2.6 -4.4 33.3 33.3 100.0 2.67 186.2 42.1
Zane Najdawi Zane Najdawi F 16 24.9 15.6 6.9 0.9 1.5 1.2 1.9 3.6 20.6 -110 23 -4.8 -9.3 46.6 50.0 75.0 -2.14 197.5 52.6
Kaelon Harris Kaelon Harris G 12 19.6 11.0 4.9 0.9 0.4 0.4 2.3 3.2 12.1 -77 14 -5.5 -12.2 61.5 57.1 60.0 -2.84 144.7 71.8
Warren Sledge Warren Sledge G 16 30.6 9.2 2.5 4.2 1.0 0.2 1.3 1.9 13.9 -139 22 -6.3 -10.0 33.3 38.9 100.0 -1.11 226.7 45.0
Quayson Williams Quayson Williams G 16 18.2 8.9 2.8 1.2 1.1 0.1 1.0 2.7 10.4 -186 23 -8.1 -23.0 39.5 35.5 61.5 -6.24 146.8 52.3
Frankie Johnson Frankie Johnson G 16 23.8 8.2 2.6 3.4 1.8 0.1 1.8 2.4 11.9 -70 23 -3.0 -5.9 34.2 20.0 81.8 2.14 152.9 39.5
Brian White Brian White F 15 14.6 8.1 3.0 0.7 0.8 0.1 1.1 2.2 9.5 -56 22 -2.5 -10.3 54.5 40.0 87.5 -1.76 167.0 60.6
Chris Ross Chris Ross - 1 8.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Leandro Allende Leandro Allende G 16 14.4 5.8 2.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.9 1.8 6.7 -183 23 -8.0 -24.2 39.3 28.6 66.7 -7.72 145.5 46.4
Ezekiel Balogun Ezekiel Balogun F 15 9.0 5.7 3.4 0.2 0.6 0.4 1.1 0.9 8.3 -10 20 -0.5 -2.0 42.9 16.7 33.3 0.0 280.7 46.4
Tyler Burgess Tyler Burgess F 6 9.0 5.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 6.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Matt Frierson Matt Frierson G 16 15.9 5.4 1.1 1.8 0.9 0.0 0.6 1.9 6.6 -52 23 -2.3 -6.1 33.3 33.3 50.0 -0.68 139.2 48.3
Aaron Washington Aaron Washington - 3 6.7 4.0 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 6.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Griffin Peevey Griffin Peevey - 2 3.5 4.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tom Koopman Tom Koopman C 16 7.3 2.1 1.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.9 -36 21 -1.7 -9.5 36.8 25.0 0 -1.83 89.5 39.5
Bobby Duncan Bobby Duncan F 8 3.6 0.9 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 -20 7 -2.9 -37.1 0 0 0 -2.16 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG