🐻⬇️🏀

Texas Woman's

Also known as: Texas Woman's
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1281 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1324 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1269 (#1) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +18.8 (#26) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +23.0 (#68) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.931 (#170) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +24.0 More → 0.956 (#103) NetEff +24.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +35.7 More → 0.984 (#89) AdjNet +35.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +36.1 More → 0.986 (#87) AdjNet +36.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 52.4 More → 0.890 (#91) AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 52.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 55.2 More → 0.824 (#21) AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 55.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.921 (#22) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.916 (#19) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 111 | GP 21 More → 1439 (#1) RD 111 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Wayne St. (MI) W 61 - 56
2025-11-08 vs Harding L 59 - 75
2025-11-12 vs Tex. A&M Int'l W 101 - 63
2025-11-14 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines W 80 - 55
2025-11-15 @ UCCS W 80 - 69
2025-11-19 vs Southern Nazarene W 78 - 44
2025-11-25 @ Pittsburg St. W 87 - 62
2025-12-04 @ Tex. A&M-Kingsville W 52 - 41
2025-12-06 @ Tex. A&M Int'l W 71 - 55
2025-12-16 vs St. Mary's (TX) W 59 - 53
2025-12-20 vs Dallas Christian W 87 - 35
2026-01-02 @ UT Permian Basin W 73 - 59
2026-01-10 vs Western N.M. W 79 - 64
2026-01-15 @ St. Mary's (TX) W 69 - 57
2026-01-17 @ St. Edward's W 78 - 69
2026-01-22 vs Midwestern St. W 66 - 55
2026-01-29 @ Eastern N.M. W 66 - 63
2026-01-31 @ West Tex. A&M W 78 - 74
2026-02-05 vs UT Tyler W 63 - 51
2026-02-07 vs Lubbock Christian W 67 - 53

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Averee Kleinhans - 18 30.4 17.3 6.8 3.4 1.8 0.2 3.8 13.0 12.7 188 9.4 27.9 44.0 36.0 81.2 1.32 56.3 49.8
Gabby Elliott - 17 28.5 16.6 10.8 1.4 0.8 1.5 1.9 11.8 17.4 172 9.1 29.1 54.7 0.0 77.8 3.31 59.8 54.7
Da'Myiah Lewis - 1 22.6 15.0 9.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 21.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 50.0 - 75.9 77.8
Daeja Holmes - 1 15.3 15.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 11.0 - - - 60.0 40.0 50.0 - 68.9 70.0
Aaliyah Henderson - 1 14.6 14.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 9.0 18 1.6 87.8 62.5 0.0 66.7 1.04 65.8 62.5
Ayanna Jackson - 1 27.3 12.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 9.0 10.0 61 2.9 21.0 55.6 50.0 0 0.82 66.7 66.7
Jordyn Marshall - 1 22.7 11.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 11.0 - - - 80.0 100.0 100.0 - 93.5 90.0
Jada Celsur - 19 32.4 10.8 4.4 2.0 1.5 0.2 1.6 10.2 7.1 131 6.5 18.3 42.0 32.8 75.0 4.19 49.7 47.2
Madi Lumsden - 19 32.5 10.3 2.3 1.8 0.9 0.4 1.5 8.1 6.1 111 5.3 14.4 44.8 32.3 74.5 2.82 55.5 51.3
Taliyah Logwood - 1 15.2 8.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 10.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 50.0 - 51.5 50.0
Alisa Blalock - 1 7.5 7.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 - - - 60.0 33.3 0 - 70.0 70.0
Malaya LeSueur - 1 21.6 6.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 7.0 - - - 42.9 0.0 0.0 - 38.1 42.9
Kayla Glover - 15 31.4 5.9 4.2 3.1 1.2 0.2 1.4 4.7 8.5 116 6.8 17.6 50.0 9.1 77.3 2.11 55.2 50.7
Maci Quiller - 1 20.2 5.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 5.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 50.0 - 36.3 33.3
Kaylie Morgan - 11 21.7 4.2 1.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.2 4.8 1.5 25 1.9 26.5 34.0 20.0 60.0 2.35 40.1 37.7
Lauren Perry - 1 14.3 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 100.0 - 41.0 25.0
Jaylee Moss - 16 12.6 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 3.1 2.8 -35 -1.9 -13.3 42.9 33.3 85.7 -1.5 58.6 56.1
Avery McConnell - 17 16.8 3.6 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 1.3 3.4 1.7 -26 -1.4 -8.6 37.9 33.3 84.6 -2.83 48.7 44.0
Julie Kasonga - 12 8.0 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.2 1.1 2.8 1.9 -36 -2.8 -115.0 57.6 0.0 0 -0.82 57.6 57.6
Jordyn Hernandez - 16 8.6 2.1 1.9 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 2.2 2.3 -59 -3.3 -39.0 33.3 0 90.9 -2.13 41.6 33.3
Fenishka Bertho - 1 5.2 2.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 - - - 25.0 0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Ciara Brannon - 1 12.1 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0.0 - 53.2 100.0
Hadyn Collie - 15 8.7 1.9 1.5 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 1.7 1.7 -26 -1.6 -19.6 50.0 0 20.0 0.64 46.1 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG