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Texas Tech

Also known as: Texas Tech Red Raiders, Texas Tech
Program History

Model Outputs

2002-2003
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1296 (#27) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1190 (#44) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +112 elo More โ†’ 1084 (#54) HCA +112 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ +12.7 (#32) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +11.1 (#42) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.747 (#39) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.0 More โ†’ 0.909 (#30) AdjNet +20.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.3 More โ†’ 0.913 (#30) AdjNet +20.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 61.1 More โ†’ 0.756 (#26) AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 61.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 61.6 More โ†’ 0.669 (#33) AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 61.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.793 (#28) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.779 (#31) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 83 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1236 (#31) RD 83 | GP 35

2003 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2002-11-22 vs UNC Wilmington W 85 - 76
2002-11-26 vs Southern Methodist W 77 - 59
2002-11-30 @ UTEP W 83 - 60
2002-12-03 @ Texas Christian W 84 - 66
2002-12-07 vs Nicholls State W 107 - 35
2002-12-14 @ Wyoming L 62 - 67
2002-12-18 vs New Mexico W 98 - 71
2002-12-21 vs New Mexico State W 85 - 84
2002-12-28 @ Minnesota W 99 - 89
2003-01-01 vs Houston W 62 - 48
2003-01-06 @ San Diego State W 75 - 63
2003-01-11 @ Kansas State L 44 - 68
2003-01-18 vs Baylor W 80 - 64
2003-01-20 @ Oklahoma L 64 - 69
2003-01-26 vs Oklahoma State L 70 - 79
2003-01-29 vs Colorado W 66 - 56
2003-02-01 @ Texas A&M L 59 - 64
2003-02-05 vs Nebraska W 75 - 49
2003-02-09 @ Missouri L 73 - 82
2003-02-12 @ Iowa State W 88 - 73
2003-02-15 vs Oklahoma L 58 - 63
2003-02-17 @ Texas L 65 - 77
2003-02-22 vs Texas A&M W 70 - 69
2003-02-24 @ Oklahoma State W 62 - 57
2003-03-01 vs Texas L 71 - 76
2003-03-03 vs Kansas L 56 - 65
2003-03-08 @ Baylor L 68 - 74
2003-03-13 N Baylor W 68 - 65
2003-03-14 N Texas W 92 - 81
2003-03-15 N Oklahoma L 60 - 67
2003-03-19 vs Nevada W 66 - 54
2003-03-21 vs San Diego State W 57 - 48
2003-03-26 vs Georgia Tech W 80 - 72
2003-04-01 N St. John's (NY) L 63 - 64
2003-04-03 N Minnesota W 71 - 61

2003 Roster

No roster data available for this season.