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Texas State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Texas State Bobcats, Texas State
Program History
Coach: Danny Kaspar

2017 Team Stats (8 games)

63.0
PPG
62.9
Opp
+0.1
Margin
44.1%
FG%
34.5%
3P%
66.9%
FT%
31.0
RPG
13.3
APG
11.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.2
Adj PPG
64.2
Adj Opp PPG
#184
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1055 (#135) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1017 (#164) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 1063 (#80) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → -1.3 (#186) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +1.8 (#140) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.590 (#116) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.7 More → 0.451 (#182) AdjNet -1.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.8 More → 0.449 (#181) AdjNet -1.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 64.2 More → 0.479 (#184) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 64.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.6 | AdjD 61.9 More → 0.560 (#115) AdjO 64.6 | AdjD 61.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.534 (#152) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.551 (#138) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 90 | GP 34 More → 1051 (#126) RD 90 | GP 34

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 61 - 57
2016-11-13 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 68 - 74
2016-11-14 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 86 - 58
2016-11-21 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 69 - 73
2016-11-25 @ UTSA Roadrunners L 48 - 63
2016-11-29 vs McNeese Cowboys W 80 - 68
2016-12-01 vs Oklahoma Panhandle PANHANDLE ST W 75 - 44
2016-12-07 @ UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros L 61 - 72
2016-12-10 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 64 - 57
2016-12-17 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 59 - 74
2016-12-20 vs Howard Payne Yellow Jackets W 87 - 37
2016-12-23 @ Tulane Green Wave W 69 - 66
2016-12-31 vs App State Mountaineers W 67 - 58
2017-01-02 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 53 - 60
2017-01-07 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 81 - 73
2017-01-14 @ South Alabama Jaguars L 67 - 72
2017-01-16 @ Troy Trojans W 75 - 71
2017-01-21 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 73 - 79
2017-01-23 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 63 - 57
2017-01-28 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 52 - 50
2017-01-30 @ App State Mountaineers W 68 - 55
2017-02-04 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 61 - 76
2017-02-11 vs Little Rock Trojans W 56 - 49
2017-02-13 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 62 - 58
2017-02-18 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 67 - 70
2017-02-20 @ Georgia State Panthers L 51 - 67
2017-02-25 vs Troy Trojans W 63 - 59
2017-02-27 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 90 - 64
2017-03-02 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 84 - 94
2017-03-04 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 70 - 65
2017-03-10 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 63 - 51
2017-03-11 @ UT Arlington Mavericks W 83 - 62
2017-03-12 vs Troy Trojans L 53 - 59
2017-03-16 vs Lamar Cardinals W 70 - 60
2017-03-22 vs Idaho Vandals W 64 - 55
2017-03-25 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks L 44 - 49

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kavin Gilder-Tilbury Kavin Gilder-Tilbury F 25 30.6 15.9 6.3 1.7 1.0 1.2 1.8 4.0 20.2 94 30 3.1 4.8 48.0 43.4 63.6 -3.23 173.3 59.5
Nijal Pearson Nijal Pearson G 25 32.5 13.2 6.0 2.7 1.2 0.4 2.1 3.3 17.9 197 30 6.6 9.1 48.8 27.8 76.3 3.21 166.6 51.8
Bobby Conley Bobby Conley G 25 30.1 9.1 3.6 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.9 2.4 12.5 200 30 6.7 10.1 42.6 32.4 68.4 4.69 163.6 51.6
Ojai Black Ojai Black G 25 27.6 7.2 2.4 4.0 1.2 0.3 1.8 1.8 11.5 164 30 5.5 9.0 45.7 35.7 62.5 1.43 160.0 51.1
Immanuel King Immanuel King F 25 21.0 5.7 4.4 0.6 0.4 1.1 1.1 1.5 9.7 113 29 3.9 8.0 65.8 0 54.5 0.43 150.0 65.8
Maljhum McCrea Maljhum McCrea F 11 17.5 4.7 4.1 0.6 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.8 7.5 33 11 3.0 8.3 35.0 0 55.6 -1.81 108.5 35.0
Nedeljko Prijovic Nedeljko Prijovic F 25 16.1 4.1 3.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.5 7.8 57 29 2.0 5.1 51.4 27.3 81.8 0.41 123.1 55.4
Marlin Davis Marlin Davis G 25 13.0 3.0 1.0 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.8 1.1 4.3 -22 29 -0.8 -2.7 22.2 20.0 50.0 -4.26 124.5 27.8
Tyler Blount Tyler Blount G 24 9.0 2.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.6 -22 29 -0.8 -3.8 40.0 43.8 0 -3.65 162.5 57.5
Nathan Josephs Nathan Josephs G 9 3.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 7 8 0.9 10.2 25.0 100.0 0 -0.68 187.5 37.5
Maxwell Starwood Maxwell Starwood F 22 7.4 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.7 2.2 -11 26 -0.4 -2.2 43.8 0 50.0 -4.21 112.6 43.8
Deris Duncan Deris Duncan G 18 5.8 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 2.0 -9 16 -0.6 -3.9 60.0 100.0 0 -2.95 190.0 70.0
Courtney Julien Courtney Julien G 14 3.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 -1 12 -0.1 -1.1 0.0 0.0 0 -2.28 87.5 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG