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Texas Permian Basin Falcons

Season: 2022
Also known as: Texas Permian Basin Falcons
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 980 (#358) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 968 (#424) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 997 (#301) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +0.6 (#489) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -0.8 (#363) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 69.8 More → 0.479 (#325) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 69.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.456 (#348) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.460 (#334) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 949 (#269) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-12-20 @ New Mexico State Aggies L 59 - 84

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Daniels M. Daniels - 1 34.0 27.0 8.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 36.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.18 0 0
K. Craddock K. Craddock - 1 25.0 11.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 13.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.58 0 0
D. Jones D. Jones - 1 35.0 6.0 4.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 19.0 176 5.3 6.6 0 0 0 1.3 0 0
L. Howard L. Howard - 1 31.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.17 0 0
K. Frey K. Frey - 1 32.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 8.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.34 0 0
Q. Grimes Q. Grimes - 1 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Warren M. Warren - 1 19.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Burrell B. Burrell - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Marzette K. Marzette - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Z. Godwin Z. Godwin - 1 8.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Crippen D. Crippen - 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Morehead B. Morehead - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG