Texas Lutheran
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2017 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1281 (#9) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1324 (#9) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1269 (#1) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +18.8 (#26) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +23.0 (#68) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.932 (#168) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.931 (#170) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.984 (#89) | AdjNet +35.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.836 (#256) | AdjNet +14.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.986 (#87) | AdjNet +36.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.845 (#256) | AdjNet +14.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.890 (#91) | AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 52.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.713 (#245) | AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 61.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.824 (#21) | AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 55.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.921 (#22) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.916 (#19) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1439 (#1) | RD 111 | GP 21 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-11 | vs | Tex. A&M Int'l | W | 59 - 42 |
| 2016-11-12 | @ | Adams St. | W | 57 - 46 |
| 2016-11-15 | vs | Ark.-Fort Smith | W | 75 - 65 |
| 2016-11-19 | vs | Newman | L | 58 - 69 |
| 2016-11-20 | vs | UCCS | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2016-11-26 | @ | Okla. Christian | W | 80 - 78 |
| 2016-12-01 | @ | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | L | 55 - 67 |
| 2016-12-03 | @ | Angelo St. | L | 53 - 74 |
| 2016-12-08 | vs | West Tex. A&M | W | 62 - 59 |
| 2016-12-10 | vs | UT Permian Basin | W | 84 - 80 |
| 2016-12-16 | @ | Barry | W | 76 - 54 |
| 2016-12-17 | @ | Embry-Riddle (FL) | W | 59 - 58 |
| 2017-01-05 | vs | Western N.M. | W | 75 - 46 |
| 2017-01-07 | vs | Eastern N.M. | L | 49 - 60 |
| 2017-01-12 | @ | Tarleton St. | L | 57 - 65 |
| 2017-01-14 | @ | East Texas A&M | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2017-01-19 | vs | Midwestern St. | L | 65 - 66 |
| 2017-01-21 | vs | Cameron | W | 77 - 63 |
| 2017-01-26 | vs | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | W | 65 - 64 |
| 2017-01-28 | vs | Angelo St. | L | 73 - 81 |
| 2017-02-02 | @ | UT Permian Basin | W | 78 - 74 |
| 2017-02-04 | @ | West Tex. A&M | L | 55 - 80 |
| 2017-02-09 | @ | Eastern N.M. | L | 81 - 84 |
| 2017-02-11 | @ | Western N.M. | W | 78 - 52 |
| 2017-02-16 | vs | East Texas A&M | L | 70 - 80 |
| 2017-02-18 | vs | Tarleton St. | W | 53 - 48 |
| 2017-02-23 | @ | Cameron | W | 103 - 90 |
| 2017-02-25 | @ | Midwestern St. | W | 56 - 51 |
| 2017-03-03 | @ | West Tex. A&M | L | 53 - 61 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.