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Texas Lutheran

Also known as: Texas Lutheran Bulldogs
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 998 (#212) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -29.6 (#915) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -11.3 (#485) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 69.9 More → 0.476 (#341) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 69.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.263 (#499) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.310 (#485) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 928 (#362) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 64 - 102

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Watson J. Watson - 1 17.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 -24 -2.7 -12.6 0 0 0 -0.33 0 0
S. Faramade S. Faramade C 1 14.0 10.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 14.0 122 3.9 14.9 0 0 0 0.81 0 0
R. Fornerette R. Fornerette G 1 12.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 14.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Reyes C. Reyes - 1 10.0 7.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 8.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Green M. Green - 1 15.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 11.0 -42 -1.4 -3.2 0 0 0 -0.05 0 0
E. Allen E. Allen - 1 11.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Ardoin D. Ardoin - 1 12.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
G. Twitero G. Twitero - 1 15.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. Andrade S. Andrade - 1 17.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
E. White E. White G 1 7.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 76 4.2 38.6 0 0 0 0.79 0 0
I. Orozco I. Orozco - 1 18.0 3.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Torres R. Torres - 1 11.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
G. Prince G. Prince - 1 16.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Horton D. Horton - 1 8.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 30 0.9 1.4 0 0 0 1.07 0 0
J. Mason J. Mason - 1 12.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Fontenot C. Fontenot - 1 9.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Baker R. Baker - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Capers K. Capers - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Harper T. Harper - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -44 -2.8 -14.5 0 0 0 -0.68 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG