Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 993 (#510) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.4 (#520) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.234 (#639) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.154 (#581) | AdjNet -14.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.149 (#578) | AdjNet -14.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.260 (#583) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 80.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.379 (#597) | AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 81.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.350 (#542) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.361 (#537) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 999 (#363) | RD 139 | GP 17 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-08 | @ | Centenary (LA) | L | 72 - 89 |
| 2023-11-16 | vs | Texas-Dallas | L | 66 - 75 |
| 2023-11-21 | vs | Centenary (LA) | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2023-11-24 | @ | Sul Ross St. | L | 73 - 81 |
| 2024-01-07 | @ | St. Thomas (TX) | L | 69 - 83 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Souter | - | 1 | 33.0 | 31.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 63.2 | 63.6 | 0 | - | 81.6 | 81.6 |
| Luke Kiser | - | 1 | 31.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 57.1 | - | 66.2 | 66.7 |
| Seth Thomas | - | 2 | 29.5 | 15.0 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 18.5 | -7 | -0.7 | -1.8 | 60.0 | 62.5 | 33.3 | 0.58 | 70.4 | 72.5 |
| Nick Anderson | - | 1 | 20.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 89 | 17.8 | 110.8 | 62.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.28 | 84.5 | 81.2 |
| AJ Hall | - | 2 | 19.5 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 22 | 2.2 | 11.5 | 61.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.73 | 74.2 | 75.0 |
| Angel Johnson | - | 1 | 27.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 104 | 8.0 | 117.2 | 57.1 | 33.3 | 62.5 | 0.48 | 66.5 | 64.3 |
| Marion Williams | - | 1 | 16.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | -14 | -4.7 | -13.0 | 36.4 | 14.3 | 100.0 | 0.54 | 50.9 | 40.9 |
| Nick Donnelly | - | 1 | 33.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Braeden Board | - | 2 | 20.5 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 31 | 4.4 | 25.8 | 46.7 | 25.0 | 83.3 | 1.06 | 56.7 | 50.0 |
| Luke Ramirez | - | 1 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | -10 | -5.0 | -77.7 | 37.5 | 25.0 | 60.0 | -0.71 | 49.0 | 43.8 |
| Quentin Beverly | - | 2 | 26.0 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 4.5 | -9 | -0.5 | -2.1 | 43.8 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0.67 | 57.8 | 56.2 |
| Matthew Soto | - | 1 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 71.2 | 60.0 |
| Nicholas Buffalo | - | 1 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 8 | 2.0 | 7.3 | 66.7 | 0 | 83.3 | 0.47 | 79.8 | 66.7 |
| Jakobi Greenleaf | - | 2 | 27.5 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | -33 | -3.3 | -9.2 | 37.5 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.61 | 40.2 | 37.5 |
| Kristian Wilkerson | - | 2 | 8.5 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | -2 | -0.7 | -6.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.29 | 65.0 | 65.0 |
| Calen Anderson | - | 1 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 13 | 4.3 | 390.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.39 | 43.6 | 33.3 |
| Wesley Hooker | - | 1 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 43.6 | 33.3 |
| Jalen Behr | - | 2 | 12.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.5 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.76 | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| Elazar Conley | - | 1 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Calvin Williams Jr. | - | 1 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 15 | 3.8 | 12.0 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.68 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Craig Collier | - | 2 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | -78 | -6.0 | -28.3 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.15 | 31.7 | 28.6 |
| Jordan Balderaz | - | 1 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Jaelyn Rivera | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ethan Van Horn | - | 1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Gerald Murage | - | 2 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | -15 | -1.5 | -5.3 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.88 | 25.8 | 16.7 |
| Ricky Altamirano | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.66 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Ruben Cazares | - | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -6 | -3.0 | -35.6 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.61 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ben Markovic | - | 1 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 28.4 | 0 |
| Coby Harris | - | 2 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 15 | 5.0 | 88.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.51 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Bakari Nelson | - | 2 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Everett Bates | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| AJ Carter | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -49 | -3.5 | -89.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Nnamdi Edeoga | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Nurenberg | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Franklin Onyeme | - | 1 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Elijah Portalis | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Stephenson | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Chrys Jackson | - | 2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 12 | 6.0 | 103.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.72 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kyron Powell | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 3.0 | 119.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyron Williams | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25 | 12.5 | 36.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Adebo | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Demi Areola | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Chase Cain | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| CK Egbo | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Eren Erten | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Charles Gitonga | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 78 | 6.0 | 95.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Morgan Hayes | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Herman Herde-Conde | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Terrell Jenkins | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Chance Thalmann | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ring Riak | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG