Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 993 (#510) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.4 (#520) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.234 (#639) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.154 (#581) | AdjNet -14.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.149 (#578) | AdjNet -14.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.260 (#583) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 80.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.379 (#597) | AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 81.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.350 (#542) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.361 (#537) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1018 (#344) | RD 140 | GP 17 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Hardin-Simmons | L | 83 - 86 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Howard Payne | L | 90 - 99 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Southwestern (TX) | W | 84 - 77 |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | Hardin-Simmons | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | UIW | L | 55 - 117 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Howard Payne | L | 79 - 81 |
| 2025-12-05 | @ | Southwestern (TX) | W | 75 - 73 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | MUW | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Rhodes | L | 76 - 89 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Lycoming | W | 82 - 67 |
| 2026-01-01 | @ | Concordia (TX) | L | 92 - 98 |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | Concordia (TX) | L | 100 - 107 |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | Ozarks (AR) | W | 106 - 92 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Hendrix | W | 75 - 53 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Schreiner | W | 102 - 90 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | McMurry | L | 71 - 84 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Wallace | - | 16 | 30.6 | 17.8 | 5.2 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 11.7 | 14.7 | 89 | 4.0 | 19.1 | 49.2 | 36.9 | 82.4 | 2.37 | 63.5 | 57.5 |
| Semaj Edwards | - | 16 | 23.5 | 16.9 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 11.2 | 11.2 | -11 | -0.5 | -3.0 | 53.6 | 42.3 | 81.4 | -0.32 | 65.9 | 62.0 |
| Teddy Tapken | - | 16 | 30.2 | 15.2 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 9.4 | 12.2 | 21 | 0.9 | 4.1 | 62.9 | 37.5 | 69.9 | 0.72 | 66.6 | 63.9 |
| Kris Jones | - | 12 | 13.6 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 23 | 1.1 | 11.0 | 45.3 | 42.1 | 50.0 | -1.7 | 60.3 | 60.4 |
| Jonah Johnson | - | 16 | 11.5 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 6.0 | 1.9 | -12 | -2.0 | -9.4 | 30.2 | 23.1 | 61.5 | 0.08 | 39.8 | 38.0 |
| Isaac Orozco | - | 16 | 20.8 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 4.0 | 6.6 | 16 | 0.8 | 4.7 | 37.5 | 32.7 | 75.0 | 1.17 | 55.0 | 50.0 |
| Kolin Polk | - | 13 | 9.4 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 0.8 | -3 | -0.2 | -6.9 | 42.3 | 47.1 | 28.6 | -1.04 | 56.3 | 57.7 |
| Aaron Garcia | - | 16 | 9.7 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 3.1 | -40 | -2.0 | -17.0 | 48.2 | 47.1 | 41.7 | 0.38 | 54.7 | 55.4 |
| Kevin Juarez | - | 15 | 12.3 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 3.5 | -16 | -0.8 | -17.4 | 28.9 | 0.0 | 73.1 | -2.71 | 41.5 | 28.9 |
| Jediah Chavarin-Rivens | - | 13 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.2 | -19 | -1.2 | -19.2 | 34.6 | 21.4 | 75.0 | -0.05 | 45.7 | 40.4 |
| Carter Lewis | - | 16 | 10.8 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32.1 | 10.0 | 68.4 | 0.59 | 44.0 | 33.9 |
| Jake Goode | - | 7 | 7.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 1.0 | -12 | -1.5 | -26.3 | 30.8 | 30.0 | 100.0 | 0.34 | 46.8 | 42.3 |
| Chris Jarrett | - | 16 | 12.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.9 | -47 | -2.6 | -53.7 | 40.7 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -2.13 | 40.2 | 40.7 |
| Darren Ford Jr. | - | 13 | 12.6 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 2.5 | -40 | -2.5 | -18.0 | 34.8 | 33.3 | 36.4 | -1.3 | 37.7 | 37.0 |
| Jonathan Babcock | - | 2 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 15 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.21 | 53.2 | 100.0 |
| Brady Sansano | - | 4 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Elijah Favela | - | 3 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alex Jaurrieta | - | 3 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG