Tennessee Tech Golden
Model Outputs
2019-2020
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 750 (#308) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 770 (#327) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 897 (#294) | HCA +96 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -12.3 (#327) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -10.9 (#321) | HCA +3.1 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.182 (#326) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.101 (#332) | AdjNet -19.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.099 (#332) | AdjNet -19.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.262 (#327) | AdjO 60.4 | AdjD 71.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.345 (#313) | AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 70.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.219 (#320) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.233 (#318) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 762 (#319) | RD 100 | GP 29 |
2020 Schedule & Results
2020 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hunter Vick
|
G | 20 | 24.4 | 8.2 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 10.6 | -85 | 20 | -4.2 | -7.3 | 38.2 | 27.3 | 100.0 | -0.96 | 222.4 | 47.1 |
Darius Allen
|
G | 26 | 20.8 | 8.0 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 11.7 | -55 | 26 | -2.1 | -4.1 | 31.7 | 31.0 | 50.0 | 0.95 | 248.3 | 42.7 |
Tae Williams
|
G | 26 | 22.0 | 6.5 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 9.7 | -165 | 26 | -6.3 | -12.1 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -4.49 | 250.3 | 37.5 |
Cade Crosland
|
G | 24 | 16.4 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 6.6 | - | - | - | - | 47.8 | 47.6 | 100.0 | - | 272.6 | 69.6 |
Amadou Sylla
|
- | 26 | 19.3 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 11.1 | -119 | 26 | -4.6 | -10.3 | 56.2 | 100.0 | 33.3 | -2.22 | 210.7 | 57.8 |
Jared Sherfield
|
G | 15 | 12.5 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 5.2 | -81 | 16 | -5.1 | -16.5 | 47.1 | 40.0 | 55.6 | -3.78 | 145.5 | 58.8 |
Reece Wilkinson
|
- | 24 | 10.8 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 6.0 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 352.9 | 40.0 |
Garrett Golday
|
F | 16 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 3.4 | -23 | 15 | -1.5 | -7.9 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.92 | 442.2 | 40.0 |
Larry Kuimi
|
C | 24 | 10.2 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 4.2 | - | - | - | - | 64.7 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 174.7 | 64.7 |
Dane Quest
|
F | 21 | 11.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.8 | -77 | 22 | -3.5 | -13.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4.99 | 317.6 | 25.0 |
Maverick Smith
|
G | 13 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 500.0 | 0.0 |
Toni Thompson
|
G | 4 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
Chase Ridenour
|
G | 8 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 250.0 | 0.0 |
Caden Mills
|
- | 5 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Michael Lolio
|
- | 3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG