Tennessee Tech Golden
Model Outputs
2017-2018
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 947 (#208) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1030 (#154) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1009 (#159) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -4.5 (#230) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -3.6 (#226) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.410 (#220) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.309 (#235) | AdjNet -7.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.305 (#235) | AdjNet -7.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.408 (#229) | AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 73.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.456 (#218) | AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 70.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.424 (#214) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.434 (#213) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1004 (#170) | RD 152 | GP 31 |
2018 Schedule & Results
2018 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chris Fields Jr.
|
F | 31 | 30.3 | 13.8 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 18.3 | - | - | - | - | 37.5 | 27.6 | 71.7 | - | 253.4 | 43.8 |
Kajon Mack
|
G | 31 | 34.6 | 12.6 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 19.5 | - | - | - | - | 37.0 | 20.0 | 80.6 | - | 280.6 | 39.8 |
Aleksa Jugovic
|
G | 21 | 28.8 | 12.3 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 13.1 | - | - | - | - | 48.3 | 38.7 | 100.0 | - | 195.7 | 58.6 |
Shaq Calhoun
|
G | 31 | 24.5 | 10.7 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 13.5 | - | - | - | - | 35.2 | 22.2 | 81.8 | - | 281.3 | 40.7 |
Mason Ramsey
|
F | 31 | 26.6 | 10.6 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 14.4 | - | - | - | - | 52.0 | 0.0 | 84.6 | - | 296.1 | 52.0 |
Courtney Alexander
|
F | 31 | 26.1 | 6.6 | 8.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 14.6 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 55.0 | - | 215.3 | 40.0 |
Micaiah Henry
|
F | 30 | 14.1 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 6.2 | - | - | - | - | 61.1 | 0 | 16.7 | - | 300.4 | 61.1 |
Cade Crosland
|
G | 26 | 9.2 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 4.2 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 887.5 | 62.5 |
Stephaun Adams
|
- | 8 | 14.2 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 66.7 | - | 75.3 | 56.2 |
Joan Duran
|
- | 19 | 7.9 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 4.4 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 800.0 | 0.0 |
Corey Tillery
|
G | 17 | 11.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 2.8 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 1650.0 | 0.0 |
Domen Omladic
|
C | 9 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 2.2 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 700.0 | 100.0 |
Maverick Smith
|
G | 6 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG