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Tennessee State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Tennessee State Tigers
Program History
Coach: Brian Collins

2013 Team Stats (1 games)

38.0
PPG
68.0
Opp
-30.0
Margin
23.8%
FG%
25.0%
3P%
40.0%
FT%
27.0
RPG
8.0
APG
12.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.1
Adj PPG
68.4
Adj Opp PPG
#176
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1086 (#119) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1047 (#135) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More → 1017 (#146) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → -0.6 (#177) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +0.2 (#165) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.465 (#183) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.8 More → 0.419 (#194) AdjNet -2.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.9 More → 0.416 (#196) AdjNet -2.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 68.4 More → 0.493 (#176) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 68.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 70.3 More → 0.525 (#144) AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 70.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.504 (#172) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.510 (#166) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 125 | GP 31 More → 1043 (#142) RD 125 | GP 31

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ BYU Cougars L 66 - 81
2012-11-13 @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 71 - 78
2012-11-15 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 43 - 72
2012-11-19 @ South Alabama Jaguars W 68 - 57
2012-11-20 @ Georgia State Panthers L 57 - 59
2012-11-21 vs Monmouth Hawks L 70 - 81
2012-11-26 vs Fisk Bulldogs W 92 - 53
2012-12-01 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 83 - 72
2012-12-04 vs Drexel Dragons W 76 - 66
2012-12-08 @ Missouri Tigers L 38 - 68
2012-12-16 vs Le Moyne-Owen Magicians W 79 - 39
2012-12-18 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 48 - 77
2012-12-21 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 67 - 64
2012-12-29 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 67 - 59
2013-01-03 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 72 - 66
2013-01-05 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 66 - 57
2013-01-10 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 80 - 48
2013-01-12 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 81 - 69
2013-01-17 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 66 - 60
2013-01-19 @ Belmont Bruins L 66 - 78
2013-01-24 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 67 - 76
2013-01-26 @ Morehead State Eagles L 69 - 78
2013-01-31 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 84 - 65
2013-02-07 @ Austin Peay Governors W 88 - 82
2013-02-09 @ Murray State Racers L 48 - 69
2013-02-14 vs Belmont Bruins W 80 - 69
2013-02-20 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 83 - 73
2013-02-23 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds L 67 - 69
2013-02-28 vs Morehead State Eagles L 100 - 101
2013-03-02 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 85 - 81
2013-03-07 vs Morehead State Eagles W 88 - 75
2013-03-08 @ Belmont Bruins L 73 - 82
2013-03-19 @ Evansville Purple Aces L 72 - 84

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Robert Covington Robert Covington F 23 31.0 17.0 8.0 1.3 2.2 1.7 2.4 3.2 24.6 91 15 6.1 8.6 43.8 35.5 91.7 3.8 234.6 51.4
Kellen Thornton Kellen Thornton F 33 31.1 15.8 8.1 1.1 0.9 0.7 2.3 3.0 21.3 74 23 3.2 4.4 45.5 10.0 62.5 1.9 238.7 46.0
Patrick Miller Patrick Miller G 33 35.9 14.8 4.3 5.9 1.7 0.3 3.4 2.5 21.0 69 23 3.0 3.6 38.6 33.3 79.4 0.75 220.4 43.4
Jordan Cyphers Jordan Cyphers G 32 28.9 12.1 2.3 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.4 2.7 12.2 59 23 2.6 3.7 38.4 32.7 86.5 0.28 188.7 47.7
M.J. Rhett M.J. Rhett F 32 21.5 5.3 6.0 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.9 0.9 10.8 27 22 1.2 2.5 53.6 0 66.7 -1.25 253.9 53.6
Michael Green Michael Green F 29 13.8 3.6 2.2 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.4 5.9 -11 20 -0.6 -1.7 46.2 33.3 66.7 -1.91 366.6 50.0
Jay Harris Jay Harris G 28 12.9 3.2 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.0 1.4 0.4 4.3 -3 18 -0.2 -0.5 54.5 66.7 66.7 -3.22 361.2 63.6
Kharon Butcher Kharon Butcher G 7 15.0 3.1 2.1 1.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.0 5.9 -9 5 -1.8 -5.1 0 0 0 -2.25 0 0
DeShawn Dockery DeShawn Dockery G 28 18.3 2.7 1.5 2.0 0.6 0.1 1.8 0.7 4.4 52 19 2.7 6.4 45.0 14.3 50.0 -0.69 140.5 47.5
Tashon Fredrick Tashon Fredrick G 28 13.6 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.5 3.2 -40 19 -2.1 -7.3 28.6 50.0 50.0 -5.53 171.3 35.7
Jordan Gaither Jordan Gaither G 20 9.1 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.2 2.2 -6 14 -0.4 -2.4 0.0 0.0 50.0 -1.42 263.6 0.0
Chaed Wellian Chaed Wellian F 9 4.6 1.1 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.8 -9 6 -1.5 -17.5 0 0 0 -2.28 0 0
Devante McClung Devante McClung G 16 6.5 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.1 1.8 -24 10 -2.4 -22.4 0.0 0.0 50.0 -4.15 191.0 0.0
Abraham Millsap Abraham Millsap - 6 5.0 0.7 1.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.3 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG