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Tennessee State

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Also known as: Tennessee State Tigers
Program History
Coach: Brian Collins

2011 Team Stats (2 games)

75.5
PPG
83.0
Opp
-7.5
Margin
42.4%
FG%
41.9%
3P%
75.0%
FT%
32.0
RPG
12.5
APG
12.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.8
Adj PPG
70.3
Adj Opp PPG
#241
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 907 (#221) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 925 (#223) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More → 982 (#196) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -5.1 (#244) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -4.0 (#226) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.404 (#213) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.6 More → 0.294 (#241) AdjNet -7.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.7 More → 0.292 (#240) AdjNet -7.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 70.3 More → 0.399 (#241) AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 70.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 67.1 More → 0.452 (#220) AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 67.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.392 (#225) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.402 (#225) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 164 | GP 25 More → 919 (#228) RD 164 | GP 25

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 65 - 75
2010-11-15 vs Fisk Bulldogs W 85 - 50
2010-11-17 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 68 - 73
2010-11-20 @ Air Force Falcons L 72 - 87
2010-11-23 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 50 - 78
2010-11-29 vs Belmont Bruins L 72 - 87
2010-12-02 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers L 67 - 68
2010-12-04 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 77 - 67
2010-12-07 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 74 - 68
2010-12-12 vs Le Moyne-Owen Magicians W 84 - 48
2010-12-19 vs Morehead State Eagles W 70 - 64
2010-12-21 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 62 - 49
2010-12-29 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 58 - 65
2011-01-02 @ Memphis Tigers L 86 - 91
2011-01-06 @ Murray State Racers L 53 - 64
2011-01-08 @ UT Martin Skyhawks W 67 - 64
2011-01-15 vs Austin Peay Governors W 76 - 74
2011-01-20 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 68 - 63
2011-01-22 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 71 - 65
2011-01-27 @ Morehead State Eagles L 65 - 72
2011-01-29 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 72 - 86
2011-02-03 vs Murray State Racers L 65 - 74
2011-02-14 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 59 - 61
2011-02-19 vs Delaware State Hornets W 78 - 63
2011-02-24 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 57 - 52
2011-02-26 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 66 - 62
2011-03-02 vs UT Martin Skyhawks L 64 - 68

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kenny Moore Kenny Moore F 14 30.1 16.1 6.5 2.3 1.4 0.4 2.7 2.9 21.0 -11 25 -0.4 -0.6 43.9 56.2 58.8 -1.25 232.1 54.9
Robert Covington Robert Covington F 14 31.7 13.2 7.7 1.1 1.6 1.2 1.7 2.5 20.7 45 25 1.8 2.4 48.6 50.0 60.0 3.54 248.7 55.7
Patrick Miller Patrick Miller G 14 33.8 11.1 3.1 3.0 1.4 0.1 2.9 2.4 13.2 4 25 0.2 0.2 44.1 27.3 53.8 -0.08 195.1 48.5
Wil Peters Wil Peters G 14 34.9 10.6 3.1 4.1 0.7 0.1 2.8 1.6 14.4 -4 25 -0.2 -0.2 54.5 50.0 82.4 0.34 252.7 63.6
Jacquan Nobles Jacquan Nobles G 14 24.6 7.7 1.9 0.9 0.5 0.1 2.0 1.4 7.7 13 24 0.5 1.1 35.0 25.0 100.0 -0.31 258.6 42.5
Michael Green Michael Green F 14 25.3 4.4 4.0 0.8 0.4 2.0 0.9 1.1 9.6 -24 25 -1.0 -1.8 26.7 0 75.0 -2.07 164.7 26.7
Tashon Fredrick Tashon Fredrick G 12 14.2 4.0 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.0 0.3 4.5 -50 15 -3.3 -11.2 50.0 0 0 -5.97 600.0 50.0
Jerret Towns Jerret Towns F 2 6.5 2.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.5 - - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 2.2 56.3 50.0
Chris Conner Chris Conner F 14 6.5 1.4 1.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.1 2.6 -56 24 -2.3 -8.8 100.0 100.0 75.0 -3.33 362.3 150.0
Verkeneo Mann Verkeneo Mann G 6 4.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 -42 16 -2.6 -12.9 0.0 0.0 0 -4.25 150.0 0.0
Blake Kirby Blake Kirby - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG