Tennessee State
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 531 (#324) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 593 (#326) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 798 (#325) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -21.6 (#324) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -22.4 (#325) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.056 (#323) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.039 (#321) | AdjNet -27.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.039 (#321) | AdjNet -27.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.134 (#324) | AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 88.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.175 (#327) | AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 85.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.092 (#325) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.098 (#325) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 589 (#325) | RD 182 | GP 25 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-30 | @ | Iowa | L | 51 - 84 |
| 2002-12-02 | vs | Oral Roberts | L | 69 - 77 |
| 2002-12-05 | @ | Lipscomb | L | 85 - 97 |
| 2002-12-18 | @ | Morris Brown | W | 87 - 78 |
| 2002-12-21 | @ | UTEP | L | 72 - 91 |
| 2002-12-28 | @ | Ohio State | L | 73 - 94 |
| 2002-12-30 | @ | Kentucky | L | 87 - 115 |
| 2003-01-02 | vs | Morehead State | L | 42 - 93 |
| 2003-01-04 | vs | Eastern Kentucky | L | 83 - 109 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ | Tennessee–Martin | L | 86 - 104 |
| 2003-01-13 | @ | Georgia State | L | 71 - 107 |
| 2003-01-20 | @ | Morehead State | L | 89 - 103 |
| 2003-01-23 | vs | Morris Brown | L | 68 - 73 |
| 2003-01-25 | @ | Tennessee Tech | L | 65 - 91 |
| 2003-01-27 | vs | Murray State | L | 75 - 93 |
| 2003-01-30 | @ | Southeast Missouri State | L | 67 - 87 |
| 2003-02-01 | @ | Eastern Illinois | L | 67 - 96 |
| 2003-02-04 | vs | Austin Peay | L | 57 - 82 |
| 2003-02-06 | vs | Tennessee–Martin | L | 75 - 95 |
| 2003-02-10 | @ | Eastern Kentucky | L | 72 - 89 |
| 2003-02-13 | @ | Austin Peay | L | 56 - 71 |
| 2003-02-22 | vs | Tennessee Tech | L | 72 - 101 |
| 2003-02-24 | @ | Murray State | L | 79 - 100 |
| 2003-02-27 | vs | Eastern Illinois | L | 75 - 88 |
| 2003-03-01 | vs | Southeast Missouri State | L | 82 - 89 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.