Tennessee State
Model Outputs
1995-1996
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 960 (#173) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1024 (#123) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1049 (#87) | HCA +97 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.9 (#206) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.6 (#208) | HCA +3.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.414 (#196) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.322 (#204) | AdjNet -6.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.319 (#204) | AdjNet -6.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.406 (#208) | AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 73.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.447 (#195) | AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 71.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.442 (#177) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.450 (#173) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1020 (#135) | RD 150 | GP 27 |
1996 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995-11-28 | @ | Missouri | L | 75 - 89 |
| 1995-11-29 | @ | Colorado | L | 72 - 86 |
| 1995-12-01 | @ | Iowa State | L | 67 - 75 |
| 1995-12-02 | N | Texas–Rio Grande Valley | W | 74 - 68 |
| 1995-12-09 | N | Mississippi Valley State | L | 70 - 86 |
| 1995-12-12 | @ | Vanderbilt | L | 74 - 93 |
| 1995-12-23 | @ | Arkansas | L | 67 - 86 |
| 1995-12-30 | N | Southern | W | 84 - 79 |
| 1996-01-08 | vs | Tennessee–Martin | W | 83 - 78 |
| 1996-01-09 | vs | Murray State | L | 67 - 71 |
| 1996-01-11 | vs | Austin Peay | W | 81 - 76 |
| 1996-01-14 | @ | East Tennessee State | W | 73 - 70 |
| 1996-01-16 | @ | Middle Tennessee | L | 74 - 86 |
| 1996-01-20 | @ | Southeast Missouri State | W | 82 - 70 |
| 1996-01-27 | vs | Eastern Kentucky | W | 72 - 69 |
| 1996-01-29 | vs | Morehead State | W | 86 - 76 |
| 1996-02-01 | @ | Tennessee Tech | W | 75 - 71 |
| 1996-02-03 | @ | Tennessee–Martin | L | 67 - 71 |
| 1996-02-05 | @ | Murray State | W | 78 - 72 |
| 1996-02-10 | vs | Middle Tennessee | L | 74 - 79 |
| 1996-02-15 | @ | Austin Peay | L | 75 - 102 |
| 1996-02-19 | vs | Southeast Missouri State | W | 76 - 73 |
| 1996-02-21 | vs | Tennessee Tech | W | 74 - 65 |
| 1996-02-24 | @ | Morehead State | W | 65 - 60 |
| 1996-02-26 | @ | Eastern Kentucky | W | 82 - 67 |
| 1996-02-29 | N | Morehead State | W | 71 - 60 |
| 1996-03-01 | vs | Austin Peay | L | 62 - 83 |
1996 Roster
No roster data available for this season.