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Tennessee State

Also known as: Tennessee State Tigers
Program History

Model Outputs

1992-1993
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1067 (#113) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1136 (#73) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +108 elo More → 1095 (#52) HCA +108 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More → -0.0 (#146) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More → -0.0 (#141) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.625 (#91) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.0 More → 0.501 (#145) AdjNet +0.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.1 More → 0.498 (#145) AdjNet -0.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 73.1 More → 0.515 (#138) AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 73.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 71.9 More → 0.546 (#112) AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 71.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.568 (#117) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.574 (#117) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 123 | GP 28 More → 1103 (#91) RD 123 | GP 28

1993 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1992-12-01 vs Jackson State W 70 - 63
1992-12-04 @ Missouri State L 66 - 79
1992-12-05 N Little Rock W 62 - 60
1992-12-11 N St. Francis Brooklyn W 79 - 73
1992-12-12 @ George Washington L 63 - 83
1992-12-21 @ Saint Louis L 61 - 83
1992-12-30 @ Louisiana State L 68 - 90
1993-01-04 @ Alabama L 80 - 95
1993-01-09 vs Southeast Missouri State W 95 - 70
1993-01-11 vs Murray State W 80 - 76
1993-01-13 @ Middle Tennessee W 78 - 70
1993-01-16 @ Morehead State W 86 - 75
1993-01-18 @ Eastern Kentucky L 73 - 75
1993-01-23 vs Kansas City W 84 - 71
1993-01-25 vs Tennessee–Martin W 85 - 67
1993-01-28 @ Tennessee Tech W 102 - 79
1993-01-30 vs Austin Peay W 93 - 68
1993-02-06 vs Morehead State W 96 - 72
1993-02-08 vs Eastern Kentucky W 93 - 84
1993-02-11 vs Middle Tennessee W 84 - 67
1993-02-15 @ Tennessee–Martin W 79 - 70
1993-02-20 @ Southeast Missouri State L 77 - 94
1993-02-22 @ Murray State W 82 - 75
1993-02-25 vs Tennessee Tech W 82 - 78
1993-02-27 @ Austin Peay L 77 - 80
1993-03-05 N Tennessee Tech W 77 - 71
1993-03-06 N Murray State W 82 - 68
1993-03-18 N Seton Hall L 59 - 81

1993 Roster

No roster data available for this season.