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Tennessee State

Also known as: Tennessee State Tigers
Program History

2014 Team Stats (2 games)

65.5
PPG
80.5
Opp
-15.0
Margin
41.8%
FG%
20.5%
3P%
83.7%
FT%
28.0
RPG
9.0
APG
13.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.6
Adj PPG
72.6
Adj Opp PPG
#285
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 804 (#309) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 721 (#332) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 925 (#274) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -8.5 (#284) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -4.1 (#235) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.220 (#310) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.1 More โ†’ 0.199 (#283) AdjNet -12.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.2 More โ†’ 0.197 (#283) AdjNet -12.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.6 | AdjD 72.6 More โ†’ 0.325 (#285) AdjO 64.6 | AdjD 72.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 69.2 More โ†’ 0.435 (#237) AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 69.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.291 (#277) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.311 (#276) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 183 | GP 29 More โ†’ 751 (#318) RD 183 | GP 29

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 55 - 85
2013-11-09 @ New Mexico State Aggies L 55 - 70
2013-11-11 vs Western Michigan Broncos L 52 - 63
2013-11-16 @ Wichita State Shockers L 71 - 85
2013-11-18 vs Lipscomb Bisons L 70 - 75
2013-11-22 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 67 - 88
2013-11-26 @ Auburn Tigers L 73 - 78
2013-11-30 @ South Carolina Upstate Spartans L 64 - 73
2013-12-03 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs L 65 - 66
2013-12-07 @ Drexel Dragons L 61 - 75
2013-12-15 vs Fisk Bulldogs W 108 - 85
2013-12-19 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 58 - 64
2013-12-21 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks L 64 - 79
2013-12-28 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers L 69 - 70
2014-01-02 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 53 - 57
2014-01-04 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 70 - 65
2014-01-07 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 66 - 74
2014-01-11 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks L 94 - 102
2014-01-13 @ UT Martin Skyhawks L 81 - 100
2014-01-16 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 64 - 70
2014-01-18 vs Belmont Bruins L 65 - 79
2014-01-23 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 78 - 94
2014-01-25 vs Morehead State Eagles L 74 - 80
2014-01-30 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 81 - 68
2014-02-06 vs Austin Peay Governors L 65 - 75
2014-02-08 vs Murray State Racers L 65 - 73
2014-02-13 @ Belmont Bruins L 71 - 73
2014-02-20 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 66 - 61
2014-02-27 @ Morehead State Eagles W 70 - 68
2014-03-01 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 66 - 70

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Patrick Miller Patrick Miller G 23 37.9 23.8 4.7 4.0 1.6 0.1 3.3 1.7 29.3 -125 22 -5.7 -6.6 45.0 27.3 78.8 1.04 501.7 48.8
M.J. Rhett M.J. Rhett F 22 32.7 11.5 9.3 0.7 0.6 1.0 2.3 0.7 20.3 -108 21 -5.1 -7.0 66.7 0 62.5 0.13 685.7 66.7
Jay Harris Jay Harris G 23 24.5 7.7 2.7 1.5 0.8 0.0 1.0 0.9 10.7 -67 22 -3.0 -5.9 38.1 30.0 90.0 -0.57 350.4 45.2
Kennedy Eubanks Kennedy Eubanks F 22 26.2 7.5 5.4 0.8 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.1 12.7 -149 21 -7.1 -11.2 45.8 22.2 50.0 -2.19 329.6 50.0
Jaleel Queary Jaleel Queary G 20 19.6 4.5 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 1.1 0.2 7.2 -140 20 -7.0 -15.4 50.0 0 100.0 -5.64 911.9 50.0
Jamonte Graham Jamonte Graham G 20 16.6 4.2 1.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 1.1 0.8 5.7 -5 18 -0.3 -0.7 37.5 33.3 100.0 0.94 251.8 43.8
Jacquan Nobles Jacquan Nobles G 16 11.4 4.1 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.6 4.8 -22 15 -1.5 -5.5 33.3 33.3 0 -1.54 361.1 50.0
Chaed Wellian Chaed Wellian F 19 9.4 3.5 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.2 4.6 23 18 1.3 5.6 66.7 50.0 0 1.54 1100.0 83.3
Michael Green Michael Green F 4 16.8 3.2 2.2 0.2 0.0 1.2 1.5 1.0 4.5 - - - - 25.0 0.0 100.0 -3.2 133.2 25.0
Jordan Gaither Jordan Gaither G 19 14.8 2.6 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.4 4.0 -2 18 -0.1 -0.4 14.3 16.7 100.0 -1.05 310.9 21.4
Gerald Williams Gerald Williams - 5 14.0 2.6 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.0 4.2 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ugo Mmonu Ugo Mmonu F 16 10.1 2.3 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.2 3.4 18 14 1.3 6.6 33.3 0.0 50.0 2.11 476.8 33.3
Alex Bates Alex Bates F 22 10.2 1.0 1.6 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 3.1 -64 22 -2.9 -11.8 100.0 0 66.7 -3.1 316.3 100.0
Cameron Johnson Cameron Johnson - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG