Tennessee St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 991 (#336) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.6 (#196) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.984 (#73) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.831 (#210) | AdjNet +13.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.833 (#215) | AdjNet +13.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.709 (#226) | AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.608 (#137) | AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 72.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.674 (#166) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.658 (#174) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1030 (#201) | RD 91 | GP 25 |
2021 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-11-27 | @ | Lewis | W | 86 - 65 |
| 2020-11-29 | @ | UIndy | W | 66 - 64 |
| 2020-12-05 | @ | Mo.-St. Louis | W | 81 - 69 |
| 2020-12-08 | @ | Indiana St. | L | 66 - 80 |
| 2020-12-12 | @ | Lindenwood | W | 76 - 63 |
| 2020-12-20 | vs | Quincy | W | 96 - 91 |
| 2020-12-31 | @ | Maryville (MO) | L | 83 - 90 |
| 2021-01-03 | vs | Southern Ind. | W | 76 - 69 |
| 2021-01-06 | vs | William Jewell | W | 82 - 77 |
| 2021-01-09 | @ | Drury | W | 74 - 53 |
| 2021-01-14 | vs | Missouri S&T | W | 93 - 56 |
| 2021-01-16 | vs | Maryville (MO) | W | 72 - 47 |
| 2021-01-21 | vs | Lindenwood | - | Preview |
| 2021-01-23 | vs | Mo.-St. Louis | - | Preview |
| 2021-02-04 | vs | UIndy | W | 79 - 67 |
| 2021-02-06 | vs | Lewis | W | 73 - 66 |
| 2021-02-11 | @ | Ill. Springfield | W | 72 - 63 |
| 2021-02-13 | @ | Quincy | W | 74 - 68 |
| 2021-02-15 | @ | Southern Ind. | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2021-02-20 | @ | William Jewell | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2021-02-25 | vs | Rockhurst | W | 81 - 76 |
| 2021-02-27 | vs | Southwest Baptist | W | 79 - 66 |
| 2021-03-03 | vs | UIndy | L | 73 - 75 |
| 2021-03-14 | vs | Ashland | W | 82 - 63 |
| 2021-03-16 | vs | Michigan Tech | W | 65 - 62 |
| 2021-03-24 | @ | Flagler | L | 69 - 70 |
2021 Roster
No roster data available for this season.