Tennessee Southern Firehawks
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 994 (#366) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.4 (#500) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.2 (#413) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.475 (#333) | AdjO 64.6 | AdjD 65.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.316 (#424) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.338 (#422) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 862 (#489) | RD 350 | GP 2 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-12 | @ | Samford Bulldogs | L | 40 - 59 |
| 2012-12-11 | @ | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | L | 64 - 79 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Rodgers
|
- | 1 | 30.0 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 |
B. Hunter
|
- | 1 | 32.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 35.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.1 | 40.0 | 35.3 |
A. Coleman
|
- | 1 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | -73 | -2.1 | -2.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.27 | 0 | 0 |
A. Hall
|
- | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.26 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
J. Watson
|
- | 1 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -33 | -1.7 | -9.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.42 | 0 | 0 |
D. Williams
|
G | 2 | 25.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | -1.5 | 102 | 2.6 | 4.4 | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.91 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
D. Champagnie
|
- | 1 | 27.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.27 | 9.4 | 0.0 |
M. Williams
|
- | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -6.0 | 47 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.34 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG