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Tenn. Southern

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2020
Also known as: Tenn. Southern
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1010 (#254) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 993 (#291) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1015 (#281) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +18.4 (#108) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.030 (#591) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +9.6 More → 0.791 (#190) NetEff +9.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.9 More → 0.311 (#466) AdjNet -6.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.5 More → 0.315 (#468) AdjNet -6.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 77.2 More → 0.289 (#566) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 77.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 58.8 More → 0.638 (#133) AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 58.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.707 (#168) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.699 (#172) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 284 | GP 2 More → 1062 (#178) RD 284 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Ky. Wesleyan L 71 - 84
2025-12-31 @ Montevallo W 66 - 38

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ashley Dickey - 2 27.9 14.0 5.0 2.5 4.0 0.5 7.5 12.0 6.5 - - - 41.7 25.0 87.5 - 50.9 43.8
Silkiari Vazquez-Troche - 2 27.0 11.0 6.5 6.5 2.5 0.0 3.5 8.0 15.0 - - - 56.2 0.0 80.0 - 60.4 56.2
Lauren Smith - 2 27.2 10.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.5 2.0 7.5 7.0 38 1.9 22.7 53.3 0.0 100.0 -3.15 59.7 53.3
Abbilyn Teter - 2 23.5 7.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 57.1 - 57.3 55.0
Ramie Reid - 2 16.5 7.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.5 5.5 - - - 53.8 0 0.0 - 52.1 53.8
Taya Totten - 2 23.9 6.0 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 6.0 4.5 - - - 33.3 25.0 50.0 - 41.0 37.5
Mia Jones - 2 15.1 5.5 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 6.0 3.0 21 1.9 38.0 41.7 0.0 50.0 0.73 42.7 41.7
Marypaz Martinez - 2 20.0 4.0 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 4.5 1.5 - - - 33.3 0.0 40.0 - 35.7 33.3
Mary Claire Pike - 2 2.4 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Emma Bryant - 2 3.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 -0.5 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Debrionna Jones - 2 11.4 1.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.0 -26 -1.2 -7.1 50.0 0 0.0 0.51 34.7 50.0
Haohao Zhang - 1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG