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Tarleton St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2022 2021 2020
Also known as: Tarleton St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1033 (#275) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1012 (#354) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +32.9 (#63) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#35) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +64.6 More → 1.000 (#28) AdjNet +64.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +63.8 More → 1.000 (#33) AdjNet +63.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 88.8 | AdjD 45.2 More → 0.981 (#29) AdjO 88.8 | AdjD 45.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 57.8 More → 0.659 (#171) AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 57.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.925 (#52) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.898 (#58) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1088 (#186) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Schreiner W 90 - 35

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mar'Cyah Willis - 1 14.8 16.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 12.0 - - - 57.1 66.7 100.0 - 91.3 85.7
Shadasia Brackens - 1 18.6 14.0 11.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 18.0 - - - 87.5 0 0 - 87.5 87.5
Gia Adams - 1 22.7 12.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 8.0 - - - 55.6 66.7 0 - 66.7 66.7
Kyriana Jones - 1 22.4 9.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 10.0 210 10.5 86.2 57.1 0.0 100.0 3.69 60.5 57.1
Jakoriah Long - 1 19.4 9.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 5.0 - - - 28.6 20.0 100.0 - 51.4 35.7
Caroline Lyles - 1 13.3 7.0 7.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 8.0 - - - 25.0 20.0 50.0 - 35.9 31.2
Tessa Engelman - 1 18.7 6.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 7.0 8.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 100.0 - 38.1 28.6
Luka Malinka - 1 18.5 5.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 - 62.5 62.5
Elodie Lutbert - 1 7.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 -1.0 - - - 28.6 0 0 - 28.6 28.6
Allie Myers - 1 18.9 4.0 10.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 13.0 -57 -2.7 -22.1 50.0 0 0 -1.01 50.0 50.0
Kristian Hieskill - 1 16.3 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Nyah Buntun - 1 4.6 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 34.7 0.0
Jaylynn Perez-Richard - 1 4.6 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG