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TCU

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs, TCU
Program History

2020 Team Stats (18 games)

65.7
PPG
66.0
Opp
-0.3
Margin
42.2%
FG%
33.6%
3P%
65.6%
FT%
34.2
RPG
14.8
APG
14.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.3
Adj PPG
61.5
Adj Opp PPG
#84
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1188 (#75) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1062 (#126) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 921 (#268) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +8.0 (#75) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +6.3 (#89) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.490 (#188) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.7 More โ†’ 0.811 (#71) AdjNet +12.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.7 More โ†’ 0.814 (#71) AdjNet +12.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 61.5 More โ†’ 0.650 (#84) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 61.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 64.4 More โ†’ 0.524 (#155) AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 64.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.632 (#103) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.607 (#115) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 85 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1095 (#104) RD 85 | GP 31

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-07 vs Southwestern U Pirates W 83 - 62
2019-11-12 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 98 - 65
2019-11-18 vs Air Force Falcons W 65 - 54
2019-11-21 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 59 - 58
2019-11-24 @ Clemson Tigers L 60 - 62
2019-11-26 @ Wyoming Cowboys W 64 - 47
2019-12-03 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 81 - 69
2019-12-06 vs USC Trojans L 78 - 80
2019-12-11 vs Winthrop Eagles W 70 - 60
2019-12-14 vs Lamar Cardinals W 79 - 50
2019-12-22 vs Xavier Musketeers L 59 - 67
2019-12-30 vs George Mason Patriots W 87 - 53
2020-01-04 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 81 - 79
2020-01-07 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 59 - 57
2020-01-11 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 52 - 40
2020-01-14 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 49 - 81
2020-01-18 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 63 - 83
2020-01-21 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 65 - 54
2020-01-25 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 67 - 78
2020-01-29 vs Texas Longhorns L 61 - 62
2020-02-01 @ Baylor Bears L 52 - 68
2020-02-05 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 57 - 72
2020-02-08 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 46 - 60
2020-02-10 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 42 - 88
2020-02-15 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 68 - 57
2020-02-19 @ Texas Longhorns L 56 - 70
2020-02-22 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 67 - 60
2020-02-25 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 59 - 65
2020-02-29 vs Baylor Bears W 75 - 72
2020-03-04 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 66 - 75
2020-03-07 vs Oklahoma Sooners L 76 - 78
2020-03-11 vs Kansas State Wildcats L 49 - 53

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Desmond Bane Desmond Bane - 32 36.0 16.6 6.4 3.9 1.5 0.5 2.3 9.2 17.3 32 30 1.1 1.2 44.3 43.1 76.3 4.1 84.9 54.2
RJ Nembhard RJ Nembhard - 29 32.1 12.1 3.7 3.5 1.0 0.2 2.6 7.5 10.4 25 28 0.9 1.1 34.4 26.7 76.7 1.46 71.6 39.9
Kevin Samuel Kevin Samuel C 32 28.5 10.0 8.4 0.5 1.1 2.7 1.4 4.3 16.8 22 30 0.7 1.0 65.0 0 35.0 1.64 97.6 65.0
Jaire Grayer Jaire Grayer G 32 24.0 7.5 4.5 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.9 3.8 8.7 23 30 0.8 1.3 43.1 35.5 63.3 -0.88 87.7 54.1
Edric Dennis Edric Dennis G 32 21.0 6.2 1.6 2.3 0.8 0.1 1.9 4.1 4.9 -6 30 -0.2 -0.4 32.6 34.5 65.7 -0.5 66.8 43.6
Pj Fuller Ii Pj Fuller Ii G 32 19.6 5.7 1.8 1.5 0.6 0.5 1.8 3.8 4.5 -21 30 -0.7 -1.5 38.3 23.9 82.1 0.62 69.2 42.9
Francisco Farabello Francisco Farabello G 30 20.6 3.7 1.4 2.2 0.8 0.1 1.2 2.1 4.9 -25 28 -0.9 -1.8 37.5 36.4 88.9 -2.28 82.4 50.0
Jaedon Ledee Jaedon Ledee - 30 11.7 2.7 2.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 5.3 -20 28 -0.7 -2.6 54.5 0 77.1 -0.26 109.6 54.5
Diante Smith Diante Smith F 31 12.9 2.5 1.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 1.0 2.2 2.2 -41 29 -1.4 -4.5 24.6 19.4 52.6 -2.67 49.8 29.7
Owen Aschieris Owen Aschieris G 9 2.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 -2 8 -0.2 -5.0 50.0 50.0 0 -1.42 75.0 75.0
Dylan Arnette Dylan Arnette G 3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.65 0 0
Russell Barlow Russell Barlow C 5 4.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.26 0.0 0.0
Anthonu Lucenti Anthonu Lucenti G 3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 -0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.65 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG