Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | +13.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.7% | 92.3% | +13.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +12 (81-69). Ratings: 2019-20 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Copeland * | 27 | 6-13 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Jaycee Hillsman * | 27 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| DJ Horne * | 26 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Rey Idowu * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Keith Fisher III * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Matt Chastain | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Dedric Boyd | 18 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Antonio Reeves | 17 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Ricky Torres | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Abdou Ndiaye | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hank Beard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 38 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Kevin Samuel * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| RJ Nembhard * | 29 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 4-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jaire Grayer * | 27 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Edric Dennis * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Francisco Farabello | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Diante Smith | 13 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| PJ Fuller II | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jaedon Ledee | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
* = starter