TCU
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 935 (#191) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 914 (#231) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 913 (#269) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.1 (#163) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.4 (#166) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.365 (#231) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.527 (#155) | AdjNet +0.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.529 (#154) | AdjNet +1.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.496 (#169) | AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 75.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.449 (#207) | AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 74.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.441 (#189) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.432 (#199) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 945 (#202) | RD 151 | GP 28 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-22 | vs | Sam Houston | W | 91 - 81 |
| 2002-11-24 | @ | Southern Methodist | L | 84 - 87 |
| 2002-11-30 | vs | Washington State | W | 86 - 83 |
| 2002-12-03 | vs | Texas Tech | L | 66 - 84 |
| 2002-12-07 | @ | Baylor | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2002-12-10 | @ | North Texas | W | 87 - 80 |
| 2002-12-14 | vs | Louisiana–Monroe | L | 79 - 90 |
| 2002-12-21 | @ | Virginia Commonwealth | L | 78 - 91 |
| 2002-12-23 | @ | Tulsa | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2002-12-30 | vs | Grambling | W | 103 - 84 |
| 2003-01-04 | vs | Centenary (LA) | W | 102 - 89 |
| 2003-01-08 | @ | Southern Mississippi | L | 64 - 72 |
| 2003-01-11 | vs | Cincinnati | L | 72 - 83 |
| 2003-01-14 | @ | DePaul | L | 65 - 71 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ | Louisville | L | 74 - 87 |
| 2003-01-22 | vs | Tulane | W | 93 - 84 |
| 2003-01-26 | @ | Creighton | L | 79 - 89 |
| 2003-01-29 | @ | UAB | L | 82 - 84 |
| 2003-02-01 | vs | Houston | L | 56 - 61 |
| 2003-02-04 | @ | South Florida | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2003-02-08 | vs | Memphis | L | 69 - 84 |
| 2003-02-12 | vs | Southern Mississippi | W | 85 - 78 |
| 2003-02-15 | @ | Tulane | L | 78 - 84 |
| 2003-02-18 | vs | UAB | L | 85 - 88 |
| 2003-02-22 | vs | Marquette | L | 68 - 79 |
| 2003-02-26 | @ | Memphis | L | 64 - 88 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ | Houston | L | 57 - 75 |
| 2003-03-08 | vs | South Florida | W | 75 - 63 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.